Gold Rejection of 4,250 Shows Structural Rotation, Not Weakness

Published 13/11/2025, 20:15
Updated 13/11/2025, 20:18

Gold futures delivered a powerful continuation of the hyper-bullish advance, reaching an intraday high of 4,250, precisely hitting the Daily Sell 1 level before triggering a technical mean-reversion response. This aligns perfectly with the VC PMI AI predictive model, which anticipated high volatility and profit-taking behavior once price entered the 4,230–4,300 weekly/daily resistance cluster. The rejection of this zone is not a sign of weakness—it is a structural rotation inside a dominant, accelerating uptrend.

Gold Futures

The market is now consolidating around 4,202, slightly above the Daily VC PMI Mean of 4,179. As long as price remains above this equilibrium level, the probability model continues to favor the bullish bias. A controlled retracement into Buy 1 (4,139) or the deeper Buy 2 (4,064) would represent high-probability accumulation zones inside the larger hyperbolic structure.

The 30-, 60-, 90-, and 360-day cycles all point to synchronized upward pressure. The 360-day cycle that began from the major pivot on September 28, 2025, continues to expand, projecting an upside window into December 2025, where VC PMI and Square of 9 geometry converge toward targets between 4,350 and 4,500. The shorter cycles (30 and 60 days) show we are in the momentum expansion phase, not yet in the topping zone. This means dips are shallow, corrections are brief, and momentum reaccelerates quickly.

Gold Futures

The rising pitchfork formation visible on your chart confirms that price is tracking the upper half of the channel—typical behavior during the early stages of a hyperbolic breakout. The market has not shown any structural breakdown; instead, each sell-side event has been bought aggressively. The MACD remains in positive territory with elevated histogram bars, signaling broad institutional momentum.

The next bullish trigger is a breakout above 4,250, which would activate the next projection to 4,299–4,300, followed by 4,350–4,400. Below the market, the key cycle-defined support remains 4,064–4,138, with the strongest structural support anchored at the 360-cycle pivot of 3,950.

Gold remains in a confirmed hyper-bullish phase, and mean reversion into the VC PMI daily levels represents strategic opportunity—not risk.

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DISCLOSURE: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Futures trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a licensed financial professional before making trading decisions.

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