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Hillenbrand stock price target cut, retains overweight on earnings release

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 14/11/2024, 16:06
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On Thursday, KeyBanc has revised its stock price target for Hillenbrand (NYSE:HI), a diversified industrial company, reducing it to $40 from the previous target of $45. The firm, however, has maintained its Overweight rating on the stock. This adjustment follows Hillenbrand's fourth fiscal quarter of 2024 earnings release, which the analyst described as "better than feared."

Hillenbrand's financial performance in the fourth quarter was bolstered by strong cost control measures and a resilient top line, despite the anticipation of a transitional fiscal year 2025. The reduced price target reflects an expectation of continued volatility in adjusted profit sharing (APS) but is balanced by the firm's positive long-term outlook for the company.

The analyst's optimism is partly based on Hillenbrand's healthy pipeline, which is expected to translate into order conversions in a more stable future environment. The firm's commentary suggests that while near-term challenges persist, Hillenbrand's strategic initiatives position it for potential outperformance over the long term.

Hillenbrand's latest financial guidance for fiscal year 2025 has been supported by the company's effective cost management strategies, which appear to have mitigated some of the negative impacts that might have been anticipated. Despite the reduced price target, the Overweight rating indicates a belief in the company's ability to navigate through a period of transition and emerge stronger.

Investors and market watchers will keep a close eye on Hillenbrand as it moves through fiscal year 2025, looking for signs that the company's pipeline is indeed converting to orders and that it can maintain the cost control that has helped support its financial results in a challenging economic climate.

In other recent news, industrial equipment maker Hillenbrand Inc (NYSE:HI). reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. The Batesville, Indiana-based company posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.01, surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.92. Revenue for the quarter was $838 million, exceeding estimates of $793.38 million and marking a 10% increase year over year.

However, Hillenbrand's fiscal 2025 outlook fell short of expectations, leading to some investor disappointment. The company forecast full-year adjusted earnings per share of $2.80-$3.15, below the $3.22 consensus. It also projected revenue of $2.925-$3.09 billion, less than the $3.14 billion analysts anticipated.

The company's fourth-quarter revenue growth was attributed to its acquisition of the Schenck Process Food and Performance Materials business, despite a 1% year-on-year decrease in organic revenue. Hillenbrand's CEO, Kim Ryan, expressed confidence in the company's long-term growth trends and commitment to innovation and operational efficiency.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context to KeyBanc's analysis of Hillenbrand (NYSE:HI). Despite the reduced price target, there are several positive indicators that align with the analyst's Overweight rating. InvestingPro Tips highlight that Hillenbrand has raised its dividend for 16 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 17 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns even in challenging times. This consistency in dividend policy could be particularly appealing to investors during the anticipated transitional fiscal year 2025.

The company's revenue growth of 16.53% over the last twelve months and a gross profit margin of 33.47% suggest that Hillenbrand's top line remains robust, supporting KeyBanc's observation of a resilient top line. Additionally, the operating income margin of 11.23% indicates that the company's cost control measures, as noted by the analyst, are indeed having a positive impact on profitability.

However, investors should note that Hillenbrand operates with a significant debt burden, which could be a factor in the company's financial strategy moving forward. The current P/E ratio (adjusted) of 56.97 might seem high, but with a PEG ratio of 0.08, it suggests that the company's growth potential may not be fully reflected in its current valuation.

For those interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights that could provide a deeper understanding of Hillenbrand's financial position and future prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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