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GLOBAL MARKETS-World stocks pause at record peak as markets assess U.S.-China deal

Published 16/01/2020, 04:01
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-World stocks pause at record peak as markets assess U.S.-China deal
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* MSCI ACWI, S&P500 at record high after Phase 1 deal inked

* Chinese shares little moved

* Bond yields dip on low inflation data

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Jan 16 (Reuters) - World stocks inched ahead to a

record high on Thursday after the United States and China signed

an initial deal to defuse their 18-month trade war, though

financial markets were wary as a number of thorny issues

remained unresolved.

MSCI's broadest index of world stocks .MIWD00000PUS firmed

0.04% in early trade after closing at record level on Wednesday

while its index on Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.21%.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.14% while mainland China's

Shanghai composite index was almost flat .SSEC .

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He

on Wednesday signed a deal that will roll back some tariffs and

see China boost purchases of U.S. goods and services by $200

billion over two years. "Whether somebody looks at this as big progress or little

progress, it is something tangible and so the arrow is pointing

in a direction that the market is comfortable with," said Chuck

Carlson, chief executive officer of Horizon Investment Services

at Hammond, Indiana in the United States.

The Phase 1 deal however does not fully eliminate the

tariffs while the $200 billion purchase targets, which include

energy, farm and manufacturing products, look daunting to

achieve.

Nor does it address structural economic issues that led to

the trade conflict. Officials say these will be dealt in Phase 2

negotiations, though the differences there are so fundamental

that many investors doubt any deal will come through.

"While markets seemed to take this deal as a risk-on signal,

we should all be aware that headlines about trade, particularly

U.S. China trade, are going to be a constant feature of 2020,"

said Hannah Anderson, Global Markets Strategist, J.P. Morgan

Asset Management in Hong Kong.

"Highly sensitive issues like the U.S.'s export ban to

several Chinese companies, increased scrutiny on Chinese

investments abroad, and China's application of its commitment to

treat foreign and domestic business alike within China are

likely to make headlines throughout the year," she said.

On the Wall Street, the S&P 500 .SPX closed at a record

high of 3,289.3 points, up 0.19%, with gains fairly small after

the market has rallied for months on hopes of a deal.

The index was dragged down by fall in financial shares

following lacklustre earnings from Bank of America BAC.N and

Goldman Sachs GS.N .

"While the trade deal has provided a relief, there wasn't

any positive surprises for markets. For shares to rise further,

we need more evidences of improvement in the real economy and

earnings," said Hirokazu Kabeya, chief global strategist at

Daiwa Securities.

DISINFLATION EVERYWHERE

Bond yields dropped as a boost from the trade deal failed to

offset pressure from low U.S. producer price inflation data,

which highlighted persistently low inflationary pressure.

The price index rose less than expected in December to cap

2019 with rise of 1.3%, lowest since 2015. The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield slipped to one-week low of

1.780% US10YT=RR compared with a high of 1.900% last Thursday

and last stood at 1.793%.

Weak inflation was evident also in UK where consumer price

inflation slowed to 1.3%, its slowest rate in three years.

The data fanned bets the Bank of England will cut interest

rates at the end of this month, pushing the 10-year gilts yield

to 2 1/2-month low of 0.630% GB10YT=RR . The British pound last traded at $1.3040 GBP=D4 , having

managed to recover a tad from its three-week low touched earlier

this week.

The Swiss franc held firm, having rising to its strongest

against the dollar in over a year and its highest against the

euro in almost three years after the United States added

Switzerland to its watchlist of currency manipulators.

Washington's decision led traders to think it will become

difficult for the Swiss National Bank to intervene to weaken the

franc in the future.

The Swiss currency last stood at 0.9643 franc per dollar

CHF= , near Wednesday's high of 0.9631.

In contrast, the Chinese yuan hovered just below its

5-1/2-month high touched earlier this week after Washington

dropped its currency manipulator label on China.

Coupled with the trade deal, warmer ties between the two

countries are seen as positive for the Chinese economy and its

currency.

The offshore yuan stood at 6.8851 to the dollar CNH= , near

Tuesday's high of 6.8662.

Other currencies have mostly muted reaction to the trade

deal.

Against the yen the dollar traded at 109.93 yen JPY= ,

below its near eight-month peak of 110.22 set on Tuesday.

The euro stood at $1.1152 EUR= , extending its recovery

from a low of $1.10855 hit last Friday.

Oil prices edged back after touching a six-week trough the

previous day on data showing big increases in U.S. refined

products.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 gained 0.48%

to $58.09 per barrel. It had fallen to as low as $57.36 on

Wednesday.

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