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GLOBAL MARKETS-Coronavirus fears, oil price plunge pummel world stocks

Published 09/03/2020, 20:14
Updated 09/03/2020, 20:18
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Coronavirus fears, oil price plunge pummel world stocks
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(Adds gold, oil settlement prices)

* Oil in biggest single-day rout since Gulf War in 1991

* Crude falls more than 30% as Saudi Arabia cuts prices

* Yen soars to three-year high vs dollar with 3% jump

* Pan-Europe stocks enter bear market territory

* Fed funds fully price for 75 bps cut in March

* 30-year Treasury yields drop below 1%, drag dollar down

* U.S. crude vs energy sector ETFs: https://tmsnrt.rs/2TPLlcD

By Herbert Lash and Karin Strohecker

NEW YORK/LONDON, March 9 (Reuters) - Global stock markets

plunged on Monday and oil prices tumbled by as much as a third

after Saudi Arabia launched a price war with Russia, sending

investors already spooked by the coronavirus outbreak fleeing

for the safety of bonds and the Japanese yen.

A benchmark pan-Europe index entered bear market territory

and a 7% slide in the S&P 500 at the open on Wall Street

triggered a circuit-breaker put in place after the financial

crisis a decade ago, halting U.S. stock trading for 15 minutes.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note slid as low as

0.318% - a level unthinkable just a week ago - and German

government debt yields set record lows as investors rushed to

cut risk assets and snap up safe-havens. Gold briefly topped

$1,700 an ounce for the first time since 2012 and is up more

than 10% so far this year.

The rout's depth, sparked after Saudi Arabia stunned markets

on Sunday with plans to hike oil production sharply following

the collapse of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting

Countries' supply-cut agreement with Russia, unnerved investors.

"The oil price plunge adds a huge disruptive dynamic to

markets that are already very fragile," said Paul O'Connor,

multi-asset head at Janus Henderson in London.

"We are seeing this week, finally, a full-scale liquidation

and signs of capitulation, full-scale panic - we see this in

every asset," O'Connor said.

Jim Vogel, interest rate strategist at FHN Financial in

Memphis, Tennessee, said that "nobody thought that Saudi Arabia

would start a price war. Suddenly you have to re-evaluate what

else could impact this."

Saudi Arabia's grab for market share was reminiscent of a

drive in 2014 that sent prices down by about two-thirds, while

the renewed plunge on Wall Street came exactly 11 years after

U.S. stocks touched bottom during the financial crisis. O/R

Brent LCOc1 and U.S. crude CLc1 futures slid $14 a

barrel to as low as $31.02 and $27.34 in volatile trade.

Both crude benchmarks recouped some losses but still fell

almost 25% in their biggest daily drop since 1991, the start of

the first Gulf War. O/R

Brent LCOc1 fell $10.91 to settle at $34.36 a barrel,

while U.S. crude CLc1 settled down $10.15 at $31.13 a barrel.

The Dow fell a record 2,000 points when trading opened and

the S&P 500 was poised for its largest single-day percentage

drop since December 2008, the depths of the financial crisis.

The benchmark index was almost 19% below its all-time high

of Feb 19 - just 1 percentage point shy of bear territory.

Equity markets in Frankfurt .GDAXI and Paris .FCHI

tumbled about 8.5% and London .FTSE tanked 11%. Italy's main

index .FTMIB slumped 14.3% after the government over the

weekend ordered a lockdown of large parts of the north of the

country, including the financial capital, Milan.

The pan-regional STOXX 600 .STOXX fell into bear market

territory from an all-time high in February. Oil stocks bore the

brunt of losses, with energy giants BP BP.L 19.5% lower and

Royal Dutch Shell /RDSb.L off 18.2%.

The energy sector in Europe was at lowest since 1997.

The losses in Europe followed sharp declines in Asia. MSCI's

broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares ex-Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS

lost 4.4% in its worst day since August 2015 and Japan's Nikkei

.N225 dropped 5.1%. Australia's commodity-heavy market .AXJO

closed down 7.3%, its biggest daily fall since 2008.

'DO SOMETHING!'

Investors piled into safe-haven debt, driving the 30-year

U.S. Treasury yield US30YT=RR below 1% on bets that the

Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by at least 75 basis

points when policy-makers meet next week.

The Fed last week cut rates by half a percentage point after

an emergency meeting.

Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust

Wealth Management in Chicago, said people know the turbulence

will pass as in past crises and that ultimately, markets

recover, but emotions can overcome rational behavior.

"Our hearts, however, tell us to, 'Do something!' The sense

of market chaos feeds into our most damaging behavioral biases,"

Nixon said in a note to high net-worth clients.

The number of people worldwide infected with the coronavirus

rose above 111,600, and 3,800 have died from the virus.

There were mounting worries that U.S. oil producers carrying

a lot of debt would be made uneconomic by the price drop.

The mood was also hit by North Korea's firing three

projectiles off its eastern coast. BONANZA

The European Central Bank meets on Thursday and will be

under intense pressure to act, but rates are already deeply

negative. The 10-year Bund yield DE10YT=RR - the euro zone's leading

safe asset - fell to a record low of -0.906%, while inflation

expectations for the euro zone sank below 1% for the first time.

Data suggested the global economy toppled into recession

this quarter. Figures from China over the weekend showed exports

fell 17.2% in January-February from a year earlier. The fall in U.S. yields and Fed rate expectations pushed

the dollar to its largest weekly loss in four years before it

recovered some ground. =USD . USD/

The dollar extended its slide to 101.20 yen JPY= , depths

not seen since late 2016. It was last down 3.1% at 102.07.

The euro shot to the highest in over 13 months at $1.1492

EUR= and was last at $1.1431.

Gold XAU= retreated from the $1,700 level it briefly

touched as investors sold bullion to cover margin calls in

plummeting securities, overshadowing the metal's safe-haven

status.

U.S. gold futures GCcv1 settled up 0.2% at 1,675.70 an

ounce.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

US crude price vs energy sector ETF https://tmsnrt.rs/2TPLlcD

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