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FOREX-Euro hits 28-month low as trade optimism supports dollar

Published 26/09/2019, 12:11
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro hits 28-month low as trade optimism supports dollar
DXY
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* Euro back at weakest since May 2017

* Trump says a deal with China could happen soon

* Dollar near its recent highs, enjoys safe haven demand

* New Zealand dollar rises on central bank comments

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Recasts, adds details, new quote)

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - The dollar rebounded and was

headed towards its highest since 2017 on Thursday, while the

euro dropped to a 28-month low, amid optimism over a trade deal

between the United States and China.

Despite the opening of an impeachment inquiry into U.S.

President Donald Trump this week and mixed signals on a trade

deal, the dollar has remained resilient. It has been in demand

both when investors get nervous, and also when a deal with China

- and a boost to the global economy - seems within reach.

The euro, by contrast, slipped to $1.0922 EUR=EBS ,

touching a 28-month low and eclipsing its lows of earlier this

month, when talk of more European Central Bank monetary policy

easing peaked.

While the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, other

currencies do not look more appealing than the dollar, because

of the cloudy outlook for the global economy and stop-start

trade negotiations, said Neil Mellor, a markets analyst at BNY

Mellon.

"You have a parade of ugly currencies. It's not obvious what

else you buy instead," he said.

The dollar index, which measures it against a basket of

other currencies, was last up 0.1% at 99.107 .DXY , its

strongest since it reached 99.37 earlier this month, the highest

since May 2017.

Trump stoked hopes for a trade deal by telling reporters in

New York that the United States and China were having "good

conversations" and that an agreement "could happen sooner than

you think". Not everyone thinks the dollar will reign supreme, however.

"USD rallied on the back of growth weakening in the rest of

the world economies, which export capital mostly into the U.S. A

trade deal may allow global trade to rebound temporarily,

helping growth in manufacturing economies, easing their capital

exports and thus weakening the USD," Morgan Stanley strategists

said in a note.

KIWI RALLIES

The biggest mover among the major currencies was the New

Zealand dollar, which gained after its central bank governor

said it was unlikely he would need to use unconventional

monetary policy. The kiwi was last up 0.6% at

$0.6299 NZD=D3 .

The trade-sensitive Australian dollar AUD=D3 rose 0.2% to

$0.6760.

China's yuan was up at 7.1270 per dollar in the offshore

market CNH=EBS .

The Japanese yen, perceived as a safe haven, rose 0.2% to

107.59 yen per dollar JPY=EBS .

Sterling dropped 0.1% to $1.2336 GBP=D3 after plunging

more than 1% on Wednesday as conflict over Brexit gripped the

British parliament.

Euro vs U.S. dollar https://tmsnrt.rs/2noVujW

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(Editing by Larry King)

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