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FOREX-Dollar supported as fears of ramp up in Sino-US trade war ease

Published 30/09/2019, 01:47
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar supported as fears of ramp up in Sino-US trade war ease
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* Dollar finds cautious support in quiet trade

* Chinese manufacturing data eyed

* Australian dollar drifts lower ahead of anticipated rate

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Sept 30 (Reuters) - The dollar was supported on

Monday in cautious trade as worries of an immediate widening of

the Sino-U.S. trade war eased and markets awaited the latest

Chinese manufacturing data for a glimpse into the health of the

world's second-largest economy.

The greenback was steady against most major currencies,

rising marginally against the Japanese yen JPY= to buy 107.94

yen, flat against the euro and slightly weaker on British pound,

to trade at $1.0936 per euro EUR= and $1.2292 per pound

GBP= .

The New Zealand dollar was knocked by diving business

confidence, while its Australian counterpart drifted lower as

dovish expectations build ahead of a central bank meeting on

Tuesday.

Three sources had told Reuters on Friday that the U.S.

Administration was mulling de-listing Chinese companies from

U.S. stock markets. The reports initially sent major stock indices and the

Chinese yuan slipping, but losses were pared as it became

clearer that a decision on such moves was not imminent. On

Saturday a U.S. Treasury official said such ideas were not being

contemplated "at this time".

"The tensions between the U.S. and china are certainly now

multi-dimensional," said Rodrigo Catril, senior forex strategist

at National Australia Bank in Sydney. "It's not just about trade

or buying more soy beans...it's about the structural tensions

that exist between those two countries.

"Now there is a capital war angle," he said, adding that

currency market reaction was modest, because the ideas were only

proposals.

Traders are expecting fewer trade-war headlines during the

week, Catril said, since China has a week-long holiday beginning

on Tuesday, which marks the 70th anniversary of the People's

Republic of China.

The Chinese yuan CNH= , the most sensitive to trade

tensions, trod water at 7.1361 per dollar in offshore trade

ahead of the release of Chinese factory activity surveys around

0100 GMT.

The figures are expected to show a fifth straight month of

contraction. Against a basket of currencies .DXY the dollar was flat

around 99.100. The dollar greenback firmed a little against the

Australian and New Zealand dollars. The kiwi NZD= slipped

0.2% $0.6280 after a gauge of national business confidence fell.

The Aussie AUD= edged down to $0.6764.

Financial markets 0#YIB: are now pricing in a better-than

70% chance of the Reserve Bank of Australia reducing the cash

rate for the third time this year to 0.75% at its Oct. 1 board

meeting, while most economists also expect a cut. RBAWATCH

"There is a view to sell AUD on the idea the RBA is to cut,"

said Chris Weston, head of research at brokerage Pepperstone

Group in Melbourne.

"(But) given what's priced, if the bank cut, the AUD

downside should be limited. So, the extent of any selling will

also be driven by the RBA's tone and outlook," he said.

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