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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares cheered by U.S. jobs data but traders fear trade talks

Published 07/10/2019, 06:14
Updated 07/10/2019, 06:20
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares cheered by U.S. jobs data but traders fear trade talks
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* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Fall in U.S. jobless rate pushes stocks higher

* Unrest in Hong Kong could weigh on market sentiment

* Investors are cautious before U.S.-China trade talks

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Oct 7 (Reuters) - Asian shares edged higher on Monday

after data showed the U.S. unemployment rate dropped to the

lowest in almost 50 years, easing concerns of a slowdown in the

world's largest economy.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.16%. Australian shares .AXJO were up

0.63%. Japan's Nikkei stock index .N225 opened higher but

reversed course and fell 0.2%.

The pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 were up 0.2%

at 3,435, German DAX futures FDXc1 were up 0.18%, while FTSE

futures FFIc1 were down 0.03%.

U.S. stock futures, ESc1 fell 0.39% in Asia on Monday

after the S&P 500 .SPX surged 1.4% on Friday.

The offshore yuan CNH fell around 0.3% to 7.1337 to the

dollar after Bloomberg reported that Chinese officials are

signalling they are increasingly reluctant to agree to a broad

trade deal pursued by U.S. President Donald Trump. There was no onshore yuan trading, as Monday is the last day

of a long China holiday for its national day.

The media report also pushed up safe-haven assets such as

gold and the yen.

Crude oil futures pared losses to trade little changed amid

caution about a resolution to the trade dispute.

Sentiment toward the U.S. economy deteriorated sharply much

of last week after disappointing data on manufacturing and

services suggested the trade war was taking a toll, and more

rate cuts would be needed to avert a potential recession in the

world's biggest economy.

But a modest September increase in U.S. jobs, announced on

Friday, eased some of these concerns and lifted U.S. markets

that day. The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 3.5% in September

to reach the lowest since December 1969. Non-farm payrolls also

grew in September, but slightly less than expected. "Moderate job growth and subdued inflation in the United

States is a positive for stocks," said Shusuke Yamada, head of

FX and Japan equity strategy at Merrill Lynch Japan Securities

in Tokyo.

This week, the main focus will be the high-level U.S.-China

trade negotiations expected in Washington on Oct. 10-11 to see

if the two sides can end a bruising year-long trade war that has

hurt global growth and raised the risk of recession.

"The dollar is a little soft heading into U.S.-China trade

talks," said Yamada. "I see some scope for yen gains, but it is

not likely to be a big move higher."

The United States and China have slapped tariffs on each

other's goods as part of a long-running dispute over Beijing's

trading practices, which Washington says are unfair.

Central banks around the world have been easing policy to

try to offset the impact of the trade war.

The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates twice this

year. Before the jobs report, traders saw a 85.2% chance the Fed

will cut rates by 25 basis points to 1.75%-2.00% this month, but

that chance has now fallen to 81.1%, according to CME Group's

FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR

rose to 1.5272% on Monday compared with its U.S. close of

1.5140% on Friday.

Spot gold XAU= , an asset often bought during times of

uncertainty, rose 0.05% to $1,505.11 per ounce. GOL/

The yen JPY=EBS , also considered a safe-haven asset, edged

slightly higher to 106.85 versus the U.S. dollar and gained to

72.12 per Australian dollar AUDJPY= .

U.S. crude CLc1 was flat at $52.81 a barrel. Brent crude

LCOc1 fell 0.15% to $58.28 per barrel. In addition to worries

about the global economy, signs of oversupply in the oil market

are weighing on futures prices.

Political instability in Hong Kong could hurt market

sentiment after China's army took the unusual step of issuing

warnings to anti-government protesters in Hong Kong over the

weekend. Hong Kong's stock market is closed on Monday for a public

holiday. Trading will resume on Tuesday.

Four months of often violent protests against Chinese rule

has pushed the former British colony to the brink of recession

and posed a serious challenge to Beijing's control of the city.

U.S. labour market and recession https://tmsnrt.rs/32XrQ4Q

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(Editing by Jacqueline Wong and Richard Borsuk)

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