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FOREX-Euro sees sigh of relief as dollar weakens on US-China trade deal hopes

Published 18/11/2019, 09:40
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro sees sigh of relief as dollar weakens on US-China trade deal hopes
USD/CNY
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DXY
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* Chinese yuan still below 7 vs dollar, sign that traders

still

nervous about US-China trade deal

* Sterling strengthens as Conservatives poised to win

election,

members say would back Brexit deal

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Nov 18 (Reuters) - The euro enjoyed a small respite

on Monday, jumping to an 11-day high versus the U.S. dollar, on

expectations that Washington and Beijing can soon sign off on a

deal to end a trade war that has been a drag on global economic

growth.

Faint optimism for a breakthrough was supported by a report

on Sunday from Chinese state news wire Xinhua, which said the

two sides had "constructive talks" over the weekend.

The export-oriented European economy has suffered from the

16 month long trade dispute between the world's two largest

economies. The tariff war has taken a toll on the world's

manufacturing.

Investors injected $3 billion of inflows into European

equities over the past two weeks, ending a record run of 85

weeks of persistent outflows, EPFR data showed last week.

"Market participants remain optimistic that a partial

U.S.-China trade deal will be signed soon and have welcomed

tentative signs of economic improvement outside of the U.S.,

especially in the euro zone, both of which are eroding the

relative appeal of the U.S. dollar," said Lee Hardman, currency

analyst at MUFG.

The euro was last up 0.1% at $1.1068 EUR=EBS , its highest

since Nov. 7, and the index which tracks the greenback against

six major currencies was down 0.1% at 97.90 .DXY .

The offshore Chinese yuan, however, remained below 7 per

dollar, last falling 0.1% to 7.0142 CNH=EBS . The yuan is the

most sensitive currency to the trade dispute.

"USD/CNY above 7.0 suggests that the market is not yet

convinced a solution is near," said Marshall Gittler Chief

Strategist at FX analysis firm ACLS Global.

The liveliest mover, however, was the pound, creeping up

0.3% against the dollar to $1.2945 GBP=D3 and against the euro

to 85.41 pence EURGBP=D3 . It has surged to a 17-day high

versus the dollar and a six-month high versus the common

currency.

Sterling was boosted by expectations that the Conservative

Party could win a majority in the Dec. 12 election, as well as

by British Prime Minister Boris Johnson saying that all Tory

candidates in the election have pledged to back his Brexit deal.

This could open the door to getting the Brexit deal agreement

passed through parliament. Johnson's Conservatives have a 14 point lead over the

opposition Labour Party, a poll published by Good Morning

Britain showed on Monday. "Anyone firmly believing in a Tory victory can expect

further potential in sterling," said Commerzbank analysts in a

note to clients, though they added that "the FX market is still

quite sceptical" towards a Tory win.

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