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GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade woes sink shares, Brexit weighs on sterling

Published 23/05/2019, 10:10
GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade woes sink shares, Brexit weighs on sterling
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* European shares follow Asia into the red
* Asia ex-Japan hits 4-month low, China shares drop
* Yen, sovereign bonds buoyed by safe-haven bid
* Pound tests $1.26 on worries PM May may make way for hard
Brexiteer
* Oil prices nurse losses as inventories build
* World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Marc Jones
LONDON, May 23 (Reuters) - World shares made it four days in
the red in the last five on Thursday as concerns grew that the
China-U.S. trade conflict was fast turning into a technology
cold war between the world's two largest economies.
Asian stocks caved to a four-month low as the rhetoric
between Beijing and Washington remained fierce while Europe's
bourses 0#.INDEXE also fell as Brexit worries and gloomy data
from Germany and the euro zone added to the nerves. U.S. stock futures also pointed to a weak start with the S&P
500 e-minis ESc1 faltering 0.5%.
Investors worry that the U.S.-China trade dispute, which has
already hurt global growth and business investment, could see a
further sharp escalation with no signs of a resolution as yet.
Late Wednesday, Reuters reported the U.S. administration was
considering Huawei-like sanctions on Chinese video surveillance
firm Hikvision 002415.SZ over the country's treatment of its
Uighur Muslim minority, according to a person briefed on the
matter. After the United States placed Huawei Technologies HWT.UL
on a trade blacklist last week, British chip designer ARM has
halted relations with Huawei in order to comply with the
blockade. Digging the knife in, the U.S. military said it sent two
Navy ships through the Taiwan Strait on Wednesday. "It's tin hats on and battening down the hatches for a fair
bit of volatility for the next few months," said Tony Cousins,
Chief Executive of Pyrford International, the global equities
arm of BMO Global Asset Management.
"We are as defensively positioned as we could be," he said,
adding it was impossible to predict what steps U.S. President
Donald Trump was likely to take next in the trade war with
China.
An increasing number of investors now seem to be hunkering
down for prolonged period of trade conflict.
Analysts at Nomura warned in a note, "Without a clear way
forward during an intensifying 2020 U.S. presidential election,
we see a rising risk that tariffs will remain in effect through
end 2020."
In response, Shanghai blue chips .CSI300 shed 1.7% to be
near their lowest since February. An index of major telecoms
firms .CSI000994 fell 3.7% as suppliers to Huawei suffered.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS touched its lowest in four months.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Wednesday it would
be at least a month before the United States would enact
proposed tariffs on $300 billion in Chinese imports as it
studies the impact on American consumers. The Indian market .BSESN bucked the global picture Prime
Minister Narendra Modi's party scored a historic victory in the
nation's general election with official data showing Modi's
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) ahead in 292 of the 542 seats
available. At least 272 seats are needed for a majority in the lower
house of parliament.

ENDLESS BREXIT
In currencies, constant trade friction saw the safe haven
yen in demand again as the dollar dipped to 110.16 yen JPY=
and away from the week's top of 110.67.
The dollar was up fractionally on the euro EUR= at $1.1130
and touched a 1-month high on a basket of currencies at 98.235
.DXY .
Minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve's last meeting out on
Wednesday underlined its readiness to be patient on policy "for
some time" given the uncertain global outlook.
The chance of a rate cut seemed to diminish as many Fed
policy makers saw recent weakness in inflation as "transitory",
though the latest escalation in the trade war means markets are
still wagering on an eventual easing FEDWATCH .
Sterling had troubles of its own as it hit a 4-1/2-month low
of $1.2603 as it suffered its ninth drop in the last 10 days.
GBP=
British Prime Minister Theresa May came under intense
pressure after her latest Brexit gambit backfired and fuelled
calls for her to quit. Prominent Brexit supporter Andrea Leadsom resigned from the
government on Wednesday and with British media reporting May
could announce her departure date as early as Friday the bets on
a more hard Brexit replacement are rising.
"Uncertainty is the only clear certainty in the near term,"
said Westpac macro strategist Tim Riddell.
"The risk of a hard-Brexit replacement for May has increased
the risks of a hard Brexit result or even a forced no-deal
exit," he added. "Such an event would likely force GBP lower,
increase risks of assets sliding and BOE (Bank of England)
taking counter action to support assets."
In commodity markets, spot gold was a bit higher at
$1,274.73 per ounce XAU= .
Oil prices added to losses suffered overnight after an
unexpected build in U.S. crude inventories compounded investor
worries about demand. O/R
U.S. crude CLc1 was last down 48 cents at $60.94 a barrel,
while Brent crude LCOc1 futures lost 57 cents to $70.41.

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Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
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