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FOREX-Dollar retreats after weak U.S. manufacturing data

Published 01/10/2019, 20:50
Updated 01/10/2019, 21:00
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar retreats after weak U.S. manufacturing data
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* Dollar index drops from 2-1/2-year high

* U.S. ISM manufacturing index falls in September

* U.S. construction spending rises less than expected

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds new comments, updates prices)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The dollar fell from its highest

level in more than two years on Tuesday, undermined by data

showing weakness in the U.S. manufacturing sector and a

lower-than-expected rise in construction spending.

Against the yen, the dollar slid from two-week highs, as the

weak manufacturing report fueled concerns the United States may

be headed for recession.

Data showed the U.S. manufacturing sector contracted in

September to its weakest level in more than a decade as business

conditions worsened amid U.S.-China trade tensions. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its index of

national factory activity fell to 47.8, the lowest reading since

June 2009. A reading below 50 signals the domestic factory

sector is contracting. "Our guess is that this weakness is at least partly due to

the all-out strike at GM, which began in mid-September," said

Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics in

Toronto.

The United Auto Workers a few weeks ago launched the first

company-wide strike at General Motors Co GM.N in 12 years.

"Nevertheless, it reinforces our belief that despite the

hawkish protestations of some officials in recent days, the

Federal Reserve will still cut interest rates by a further 25

basis points at December's FOMC meeting.

The dollar's outlook remained solid despite Tuesday's weak

data, analysts said.

"Even though the Fed is lowering interest rates, the dollar

is not exactly losing ground because of the domino effect:

everybody is following the Fed in cutting rates," said Juan

Perez, senior currency trader at Tempus Inc in Washington.

"At the this point, with an economy that's growing at 2% on

a quarterly basis while the rest of the world is struggling,

the dollar looks like to be the safer asset."

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar was the main underperformer

in the G10 space on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia

cut interest rates and expressed concern about job growth

With rate cuts in Australia, final PMI readings in Europe at

seven-year lows and weak confidence readings in Japan, the

dollar scored its biggest quarterly gain in the third quarter

since June 2018.

On Tuesday, a September survey showed euro zone

manufacturing activity had contracted the most in almost seven

years. In afternoon trading, the dollar index .DXY was down

0.2%99.14, after earlier touching 99.58, its highest level since

May 2017.

The euro was up 0.3% against the dollar at $1.0933 EUR= .

In Japan, its big manufacturers' business confidence

worsened to a six-year low in the July-September quarter, the

Bank of Japan's closely-watched Tankan survey showed.

The yen initially weakened after the Tankan data, but firmed

against the dollar after the weak U.S. manufacturing report. The

dollar was last down 0.3% at 107.740 yen JPY= .

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar AUD=D3 fell 0.7% to

US$0.6710 after the RBA cut its cash rate to a record low of

0.75%, as expected.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:39PM (1939 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.0936 $1.0898 +0.35% -4.65% +1.0942 +1.0880

Dollar/Yen JPY= 107.7000 108.0600 -0.33% -2.32% +108.4600 +107.6400

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 117.79 117.79 +0.00% -6.68% +118.1600 +117.6800

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9927 0.9978 -0.51% +1.15% +1.0016 +0.9927

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2304 1.2287 +0.14% -3.55% +1.2340 +1.2208

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3216 1.3239 -0.17% -3.09% +1.3290 +1.3209

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6703 0.6749 -0.68% -4.91% +0.6775 +0.6673

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0859 1.0876 -0.16% -3.51% +1.0920 +1.0858

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8885 0.8867 +0.20% -1.10% +0.8936 +0.8847

NZ NZD= 0.6243 0.6261 -0.29% -7.06% +0.6272 +0.6204

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.1278 9.0935 +0.38% +5.66% +9.1476 +9.0913

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.9838 9.9127 +0.72% +0.79% +9.9839 +9.9082

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.8736 9.8408 +0.69% +10.15% +9.9303 +9.8405

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.7997 10.7261 +0.69% +5.22% +10.8110 +10.7209

CESI and euro positions https://tmsnrt.rs/2nMxsQe

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