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FOREX-Euro hit by rush for dollars as coronavirus spreads

Published 24/02/2020, 12:58
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro hit by rush for dollars as coronavirus spreads
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* Coronavirus cases in Italy spark pandemic worries

* Euro weakens towards $1.08, Aussie at 11-year low

* Yen and Swiss franc edge up slightly as dollar dominates

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds detail, analyst, updates prices)

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, Feb 24 (Reuters) - The euro dropped back towards

$1.08 on Monday and the Australian dollar tumbled to an 11-year

low as the spread of the coronavirus outside China drove fears

of a pandemic and sent investors to shelter in the dollar.

The safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc gained, but not

by much - underlining how the dollar has become the currency of

choice for investors because the U.S. economy is viewed as

better sheltered if the virus hits global growth.

Italy, South Korea and Iran reported sharp increases in

coronavirus cases over the weekend. The World Health

Organization is now worried about the growing number of cases

that have no clear link to the epicentre of the outbreak in

China. "If you expect global growth to be lower on the back of this

... it still makes sense to bet on a stronger dollar," said

Nordea analyst Morten Lund, who also cited the U.S. economy's

relative strength and its higher yields.

The euro weakened 0.3% to $1.0805 EUR=EBS , close to last

week's $1.0778 -- its lowest in nearly three years?

"I expect euro/dollar to move lower in the short term, not

only because of the incidents in Italy but also because the euro

zone is much more exposed to China (than the United States),"

Lund said.

The dollar gained 0.2% against a basket of currencies =USD

to 99.622, close to the 99.915 level hit last week for its

strongest since April 2017.

U.S. economic data last week came in below expectations.

Money markets now price in a Federal Reserve interest rate cut

of 25 basis points in June, though some observers think that

rising expectations of monetary easing are not hurting the

dollar.

"The more challenging environment for global growth may make

it even more difficult to weaken the U.S. dollar right now,"

said MUFG analyst Lee Hardman.

The Australian dollar, often traded as a proxy for China

risk, weakened 0.6% to an 11-year low of $0.6585 AUD=D3 . New

Zealand's dollar also declined by 0.6% NZD=D3 .

The Swedish crown EURSEK=D3 and Canadian dollar CAD=D3

both fell sharply.

The Chinese yuan was among many emerging market currencies

to suffer, meanwhile. Against the offshore yuan, the U.S. dollar

was last up 0.1% at 7.0375 yuan CNH=EBS .

While equities tumbled and gold rallied, risk aversion did

not trigger a significantly higher yen. MKTS/GLOB

Analysts say that investors are discounting the yen's

traditional safety value owing to Japan's virus exposure.

The dollar fell 0.2% to 111.31 yen JPY=EBS , below the 112

yen levels of last week.

The Swiss franc was unchanged against the euro at 1.0606

francs EURCHF=EBS , very close to its strongest since 2015.

EUR positions https://tmsnrt.rs/37VMvIF

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(Editing by Catherine Evans and David Goodman)

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