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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares at 6-week high on trade progress, ECB easing

Published 13/09/2019, 07:49
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares at 6-week high on trade progress, ECB easing
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* MSCI Asia ex-Japan up 0.5%, highest since Aug 1

* Europe set for higher open; ECB easing encourages markets

* Trump wants full deal with Beijing after goodwill gestures

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Hideyuki Sano and Noah Sin

TOKYO/HONG KONG, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Asian stocks climbed to

their highest in six weeks on Friday, as signs of progress in

U.S.-China trade talks and aggressive stimulus from the European

Central Bank helped to calm fears of a global economic slowdown.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS edged up 0.5% to their highest since Aug. 1,

while Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose more than 1.0% to four-month

highs. Markets in mainland China and South Korea were closed for

public holidays.

European stocks are set to track Asia's firmer tone, with

pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 up 0.1%, Germany's DAX

futures FDXc1 up 0.1% and London's FTSE futures FFIc1

higher by 0.2%.

"Risk assets should find further support from accommodative

policies, which are set to remain in vogue for some time, and

not just in Europe as seen in the global easing trend," said

Esty Dwek, head of global market strategy at Natixis in Geneva,

Switzerland.

"Nonetheless, we believe that trade uncertainty and growth

concerns will not vanish, so any reprieve on either subject will

be welcome. We also believe that some earnings growth will be

needed for equities to grind higher," she said.

The United States on Thursday welcomed China's renewed

purchases of U.S. farm goods while maintaining the threat of

U.S. tariff hikes as the world's two largest economies prepared

for talks aimed at breaking their trade war impasse.

Trump said he preferred a comprehensive trade deal with

China but did not rule out the possibility of an interim pact,

even as he said an "easy" agreement would not be

possible. Investors bet optimism will prevail in the near future

though most economists in a Reuters poll believed the trade

dispute will worsen or at best stay the same over the coming

year. The U.S. S&P 500 closed within striking distance of its

all-time closing high, rising 0.29% to 3,009.57, near a record

closing high of 3,024.50 marked in late July. .N

The Philadelphia semiconductor share index .SOX hit an

all-time high while MSCI ACWI .MIWD00000PUS also came near

this year's peak after seven straight days of gains by Thursday.

Sentiment found modest support from Trump's planned tax

overhaul aimed at middle-income households next

year.

CENTRAL BANKS

On Thursday, the European Central Bank delivered

bigger-than-expected stimulus, cutting interest rates by 0.10

percentage point to minus 0.50%, promising that rates would stay

low for longer and restarting bond purchases of 20 billion euros

a month from November. The resumption of quantitative easing had been seen as a

close call and helped to boost risk assets.

But the euro quickly lost steam and European bond yields

also rose as profit-taking set in.

ECB President Mario Draghi stepped up his rhetoric in

calling for governments to spend their way out of a slowdown,

highlighting the limitations of monetary policy and also fanning

expectations of fiscal spending down the road.

The euro stood at $1.1085 EUR= near the two-week high hit

in U.S. trade, having risen 0.5 percent on Thursday.

Rising risk appetite kept the yen near its six-week low of

108 to the dollar JPY= .

Ten-year German Bund yields also rose back to minus 0.503%

DE10YT=RR .

That also helped keep the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries

at 1.7838% US10YT=RR , near early August levels, breached in

Thursday's session.

Fed funds rate futures FEDWATCH imply a 0.25 percentage

point interest rate cut by the Fed next week but have

effectively priced out any chance of a larger cut.

The Fed will announce its policy on Wednesday, followed by

the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Thursday.

Sources told Reuters the BOJ is leaning towards standing pat

next week if markets are calm, but is brainstorming ways to

deepen negative interest rates at minimal cost. "I think a rally in stock prices will run out of steam soon.

It's typical buy-on-rumour-sell-on-fact trade on central bank

stimulus and will be over by the Fed and the BOJ's meetings,"

said Tatsushi Maeno, senior strategist at Okasan Asset

Management.

"People also seem to think there will be a deal between

China and the States soon but you never know when suddenly Trump

(does an) about-face. We just saw that in May and August," he

added.

Trump unveiled a hike in tariffs on $200 billion worth of

Chinese imports in early May and announced another 10% tariff on

the remaining $300 billion imports from China in early August.

U.S. stock prices were at record levels on both occasions.

Oil prices were on course to post weekly losses, on

continued worries about weakening demand and on speculation

Trump may ease sanctions on Iran after his former national

security adviser John Bolton, an Iran hawk, left the White House

earlier this week.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 0.25% to $60.21 a barrel

while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was down

0.2% at $54.98.

ECB, German bunds Sept 13 https://tmsnrt.rs/2ZZJE1i

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(Editing by Sam Holmes and Jacqueline Wong)

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