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FOREX-Dollar nudged off 3-week high, U.S. yields capped before Jackson Hole

Published 21/08/2019, 06:12
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar nudged off 3-week high, U.S. yields capped before Jackson Hole
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* Dollar's advance stalls as U.S. yields reverse course and

* Euro steady after shaking off Italy PM's resignation

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds details and quotes, updates prices)

By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO, Aug 21 (Reuters) - The dollar was under pressure on

Wednesday, elbowed off a three-week peak after a bounce in U.S.

yields stalled ahead of a global central bankers meeting, at

which the Federal Reserve is expected to give clues on further

rate cuts.

Officials from major central banks will gather at Jackson

Hole, Wyoming, on Friday with markets focused on a scheduled

speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

His comments are of particular interest after last week's

inversion of the U.S. yield curve - widely regarded as a

recession signal - boosted expectations the Fed would lower

interest rates at its September policy meeting. Faced with

rising risks to the U.S. economy, the central bank in July cut

rates for the first time since the financial crisis.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies was nearly flat at 98.232 after shedding 0.2%

overnight.

The index had climbed to 98.450 on Tuesday, its highest

since Aug. 1, as U.S. yields bounced from multi-year lows at the

week's start on signs global policymakers were ready to step up

stimulus support to stave off a steep economic downturn.

U.S. yields, however, declined overnight on the prospect of

more easing by the Fed.

Takuya Kanda, general manager at Gaitame.Com Research

Institute, believes U.S. President Donald Trump's "strong desire

for deep rate cuts" may raise hopes among some traders of strong

easing signals at Jackson Hole. But he also warned that Powell

may opt to give little away in his speech as the Fed prepares

for the September policy review.

Investors will also be looking for clues on the Fed's plans

in minutes of its July policy meeting due later on Wednesday.

The dollar bounced 0.2% to 106.460 yen JPY= reversing a

part of the previous day's losses, while the euro was steady at

$1.1094 EUR= , having put on 0.2% overnight.

The single currency dipped briefly after Italy's Prime

Minister Giuseppe Conte announced his resignation on Tuesday.

"Conte's resignation won't have a strong impact on the euro

in the longer run as it is only a chapter in the ever-shifting

Italian politics," said Kanda at Gaitame.Com Research.

In addition to the Fed, the euro also has to contend with

the possibility of the European Central Bank easing policy in

September.

The Bundesbank said on Monday that the German economy may

have continued to shrink over the summer as industrial

production declined. That would mean the euro zone's biggest

economy is now in recession following the second quarter's

decline reported last week. Recession is commonly defined as two

consecutive quarters of negative growth. "Germany in recession would generate a strong buzz, and

there is no doubt that economic conditions in the zone would

force the ECB to take its next policy steps," said Daisuke

Karakama, chief market economist at Mizuho Bank.

Sterling traded at $1.2156 GBP=D3 , holding a bulk of the

gains made on Tuesday when it advanced 0.4%.

The pound rose after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said

the European Union would think about practical solutions

regarding the post-Brexit Irish border. The Australian dollar AUD=D3 was largely flat at $0.6779

after edging up 0.2% on Tuesday.

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