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FOREX-Dollar holds firm before holidays, sterling slips on Brexit worries

Published 23/12/2019, 16:11
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar holds firm before holidays, sterling slips on Brexit worries
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* Dollar supported by Friday's U.S. economic growth data

* Aussie, Kiwi rally on Chinese trade optimism

(Recasts throughout, updates rates, adds comments post-U.S.

market open; new byline; previous LONDON)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK, Dec 23 (Reuters) - The dollar held near a two-week

high against a basket of currencies on Monday as the North

American trading session kicked off for the holiday-shortened

week, while sterling fell on concerns over the British

government's hard line on Brexit talks.

The dollar index .DXY , which measures the greenback

against six major currencies, was up 0.02% at 97.71. The index

rose 0.3% on Friday after the release of upbeat U.S. economic

data late last week.

The dollar, up 1.6% for the year as measured by the dollar

index, has broadly benefited during bouts of risk aversion -

because it is considered a safe-haven currency - and when

markets have rallied, because the U.S. economy is outperforming

other parts of the world.

"The USD's bounce last week sets it up for a modest “Santa

rally” perhaps but we rather view scope for gains as limited in

the medium to longer run still," Shaun Osborne, chief FX

strategist at Scotiabank, said in a note.

The dollar has also been supported since Washington and

Beijing came to an interim trade agreement earlier this month.

China said on Monday it would lower tariffs on some products

next year. Currencies linked closely to the prospects for global trade

rose on Monday, with the Aussie AUD= up 0.16% and the kiwi up

0.12%.

With the economic calendar light before the holidays,

analysts doubt major currencies will post significant moves this

week, analysts said.

The future path of the dollar is likely linked to what kind

of benefits non-U.S. currencies reap from the recent easing in

trade-related tensions between the United States and China.

"With the Fed likely on hold next year, the key to a weaker

dollar in 2020 could depend on further momentum from Europe,"

said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

"Europe is likely to benefit the most from continued

progress with the U.S.-China trade war and if we see any hints

of a manufacturing rebound the euro could eye the 1.15 level,"

Moya said.

On Monday, the euro was 0.06% higher at $1.1085.

The Canadian dollar CAD= was trading 0.16% lower against

the greenback at 1.3173 to the greenback, or 75.89 U.S. cents,

after disappointing data.

Canada's economy unexpectedly shrank by 0.1% in October, the

first monthly decline since February, partly because of a U.S.

auto strike that hit manufacturing, Statistics Canada data

indicated on Monday. Sterling fell to a three-week low against the dollar on

Monday, pulled down in holiday-thinned trade by nagging concern

over the British government's hard line on Brexit talks. The

pound was 0.51% lower.

Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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