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WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Kenyan shilling seen pressured while Zambian Kwacha could firm

Published 05/03/2020, 14:03
Updated 05/03/2020, 14:09
© Reuters.  WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Kenyan shilling seen pressured while Zambian Kwacha could firm
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NAIROBI, March 5 (Reuters) - The Kenyan shilling is seen

depreciating on the back of a central bank move to purchase hard

currency to beef up reserves while Zambia's Kwacha might claw

back losses as debt payment pressures ebb.

KENYA

The Kenyan shilling KES= is seen weaker in the coming week

as banks shore up their hard currency positions after the

central bank announced a dollar purchase plan, traders said.

At 1101 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at

102.50/70 per dollar, compared with 100.90/101.10 at last

Thursday's close.

"We're seeing a lot of panic buying ... let's see how they

(CBK) contain it, the buck now stops with them," said a senior

trader from one commercial bank.

This week the central bank announced it would start

purchasing $100 million every month between March and June to

help beef up its foreign reserves. The announcement triggered

the local currency to depreciate to a three-month low.

The Ugandan shilling UGX= is seen trading with a weakening

bias on the back of foreign-owned firms buying hard currency to

meet last year's dividend payout obligations.

At 0920 GMT commercial banks quoted the shilling at

3,705/3,715, compared with last Thursday's close of 3,710/3,720.

"We're in the dividends season. There's a bit of pressure

weighing on the shilling and that will continue for the next few

weeks," Faisal Bukenya, managing director at Pay Uganda, an

independent foreign exchange dealer in Uganda's capital Kampala

told Reuters.

He said the local currency would likely oscillate in the

range of 3,700-3,725 in the coming week.

TANZANIA

The Tanzanian shilling TZS= is expected to hold steady

next week due to receding demand pressure for hard currency from

merchandise importers as the disruption of travel by the

coronavirus epidemic hobbles international trade.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 2,299/2,309 on

Thursday, up from an average of 2,305/2,315 recorded last week.

"Import activities ... have gone down due to the

coronavirus, which has reduced pressure to the shilling," a

trader in one of the commercial banks in Dar es Salaam told

Reuters.

ZAMBIA

The Zambian kwacha ZMW= is expected to recover some of its

losses in the coming week as pressure arising from servicing

debt temporarily eases.

On Thursday commercial banks quoted the currency of Africa's

second-largest copper producer at 15.1750 per dollar, down from

a close of 14.9500 a week ago.

"It could get back below 15 per dollar ... because the due

payment was made," independent financial analyst Maambo Hamaundu

said.

NIGERIA

Nigeria's naira NGN= is seen easing next week amid

expectations the worldwide coronavirus outbreak will worsen

dollar liquidity shortages in the West African country, traders

said.

A few trades were carried out on the naira at 366.5 on the

over-the-counter market on Wednesday, weaker than the 365 level

at which the currency has been quoted for over a week.

Traders said liquidity is tight and that it is becoming

harder to meet demand. The central bank has been helping to keep

the naira stable at 307 on the official market but demand is

rising.

Foreign inflows into the Africa's biggest economy dried up

after government bond yields slowed while a drop in oil prices

triggered by the coronavirus outbreak has exacerbated hard

currency supply worries.

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