TSLA is the leader in physical AI but valuation stretched says BofA

Published 29/10/2025, 12:48
© Reuters

Investing.com -- Bank of America raised its price objective on Tesla to $471 from $341 but maintained a Neutral rating, saying the company remains the clear leader in “physical AI” but warned that its valuation remains stretched.

The new target is based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation that assigns roughly 45% of Tesla’s total value to its robotaxi business, 19% to Optimus, 17% to Full Self Driving, 12% to core automotive, and 6% to energy generation and storage, BofA analysts said.

The team led by Federico Merendi said the higher target reflects “a lower cost of equity capital, better Robotaxi progress, and a higher valuation for Optimus to account for the potential entrance into international markets.”

BofA revised its estimates to include stronger energy margins, cheaper Model 3/Y versions, and an initial Robotaxi contribution, but also raised operating expenses to reflect growth investments.

It now forecasts operating expenses of $13.2 billion in 2026, 24% above prior estimates.

“We continue to see TSLA as the company with the largest advantage in terms of autonomous driving initiatives and physical AI applications currently in the marketplace. However, we acknowledge that there are challenges in the near term and the current valuation is stretched,” the analysts wrote.

Tesla’s third-quarter results showed revenue of $28.1 billion, up 12% year-on-year and above estimates, driven by record deliveries of 497,099 vehicles.

Automotive margins declined to 17% due to higher costs and tariffs, while the energy division outperformed with gross margins of 31.4%.

Operating expenses rose 44% year-on-year as AI and R&D spending increased 57%.

Analysts said near-term headwinds persist in the North American auto segment after the expiration of Inflation Reduction Act incentives, echoing Elon Musk’s warning of “a few rough quarters.”

They remain more positive on energy and robotaxi expansion, noting Tesla’s service area in Austin has tripled and the company expects to launch Robotaxi in up to ten metro areas by year-end.

“Tesla’s vision-based approach has the potential to allow for much quicker scaling of Robotaxi vs. competitors,” analysts said.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.