Janux stock plunges after hours following mCRPC trial data
Middleby Corp reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing Wall Street expectations with a notable earnings per share (EPS) of $2.37, compared to the forecasted $2.11. This 12.32% surprise, coupled with revenue reaching $982 million against the anticipated $961.14 million, prompted a positive market reaction. In premarket trading, Middleby's stock rose by 6.9%, reflecting investor optimism.
Key Takeaways
- Middleby Corp's Q3 EPS exceeded expectations by 12.32%.
- Revenue also surpassed forecasts, reaching $982 million.
- Premarket trading saw a 6.9% increase in stock price.
- Strategic initiatives include a new facility in Michigan and innovation center in Italy.
- A $709 million non-cash impairment charge was recorded for the residential segment.
Company Performance
Middleby Corp demonstrated strong performance in Q3 2025, with revenue and EPS both exceeding forecasts. The company continues to innovate, opening a state-of-the-art facility in Michigan and an innovation center in Italy, focusing on residential refrigeration and food processing, respectively. Despite challenges in the residential segment, Middleby remains competitive across its three main sectors: commercial food service, residential, and food processing.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $982 million (up from forecasted $961.14 million)
- Earnings per share: $2.37 (up from forecasted $2.11)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $196 million
- Q4 Revenue Guidance: $990 million to $1.02 billion
- Full Year Revenue Guidance: $3.85 billion to $3.89 billion
Earnings vs. Forecast
Middleby Corp's Q3 results showcased a significant earnings beat, with EPS at $2.37 compared to the forecasted $2.11, marking a 12.32% surprise. Revenue also exceeded expectations by 2.17%, reaching $982 million against the $961.14 million forecast. This performance is a positive deviation from previous quarters, highlighting the company's resilience and strategic positioning.
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, Middleby Corp's stock rose by 6.9% in premarket trading, reaching $132. This increase reflects strong investor confidence, particularly given the company's performance against its 52-week range of $117.06 to $182.73. The positive reaction is aligned with the broader market trend of rewarding companies that exceed earnings expectations.
Outlook & Guidance
Middleby Corp provided optimistic guidance for the coming quarters, projecting Q4 revenue between $990 million and $1.02 billion. The full-year revenue is expected to range from $3.85 billion to $3.89 billion, with adjusted EPS guidance set between $8.99 and $9.14. The company is also planning a spin-off of its food processing business by May 2026, which is anticipated to unlock further growth opportunities.
Executive Commentary
CEO Tim Fitzgerald expressed confidence in Middleby's strategic direction, stating, "While we are navigating some market volatility, Middleby is stronger today than any point in our history." He also highlighted the company's focus on next-generation automation and IoT capabilities, which are expected to maintain its competitive edge.
Risks and Challenges
- Residential segment challenges: A significant $709 million non-cash impairment charge was recorded.
- Market volatility: Ongoing mixed conditions in the commercial food service sector.
- Tariff impacts: Potential impact on pricing and operational costs.
- QSR segment challenges: Traffic issues affecting quick-service restaurants.
- Strategic execution: Successful spin-off and strategic reviews are crucial for future growth.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the strategic review of the residential kitchen business and the anticipated impacts of tariffs. The company addressed these concerns by outlining mitigation strategies and highlighting growth potential in its ice and beverage platform, which is expected to drive future performance.
Full transcript - Middleby Corp (MIDD) Q3 2025:
Conference Operator: Good day, everyone, and welcome to today's third quarter 2025 Middleby earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, you will have the opportunity to ask your questions during the question-and-answer session. Please note today's call will be recorded, and I will be standing by should you need any assistance. It is now my pleasure to turn the conference over to CEO Tim Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.
Tim Fitzgerald, CEO, Middleby: Good morning, and thank you for joining today's call. I'll begin this morning with an overview of the announced strategic review of our residential kitchen business before discussing highlights of the third quarter and for each of our business segments. As part of our efforts to drive long-term shareholder value, we've been undertaking a strategic review of our overall business portfolio. We continue to believe that our shares are significantly undervalued, and we're taking deliberate steps to close that gap, including with a planned spin-off of our food processing business targeted for completion in the second quarter of 2026, and also through our significant share repurchasing activities. As we further continue to evaluate opportunities to unlock the value at each of our three industry-leading segments, we have embarked on a review of options to maximize the value of our residential kitchen business.
This includes an evaluation of a range of options, one of which is a potential separation of our residential kitchen business. During the quarter, in connection with that review, we recorded a non-cash impairment charge of $709 million. This is an accounting-driven valuation adjustment and does not reflect any change in our confidence in the segment's underlying strength. In fact, we believe our residential business is positioned better than ever. We have a portfolio of iconic brands. We have invested in new state-of-the-art manufacturing centers of excellence. We are introducing new products with exciting features, and we have strengthened our team across the platform. While the residential market remains challenging, our business is positioned to benefit from a recovery. We intend to pursue options that will maximize shareholder value while benefiting our customers and employees.
Please note we will not be making any further comments on the status of this strategic review on the call. As for the third quarter, we are pleased with our results, which once again demonstrate the strength of our business and our team's disciplined execution. Total revenue of $980 million exceeded the top end of our guidance range. Each of our three segments surpassed expectations. This top-line performance drove adjusted EBITDA of $196 million and adjusted EPS of $2.37, both exceeding the upper end of our guidance. These results reflect the benefits of our strategic investments over the past several years, expanding our go-to-market strategy, strengthening local sales support, advancing digital marketing, and enhancing after-sales service capabilities. We continue to invest in innovative technologies that help customers address labor and training challenges and operate more efficiently.
Our ice and beverage platform remains a core area of opportunity and is expected to be a meaningful growth driver in the years ahead. While broader market conditions remain mixed, our long-term strategic focus has positioned Middleby to capture outsized growth when markets normalize. At our commercial food service segment, we returned to positive organic growth in sales for the first time since the third quarter of 2023. Growth was driven by the general market, institutional customers, and with emerging restaurant chains, offset in part by ongoing softness among large QSR customers facing lower traffic and cost pressures. We are encouraged by the traction we're seeing from investments made with key U.S. channel partners. By partnering and educating our dealer base on the performance advantages of our technologies, we are capturing market share and outpacing overall industry growth in this area.
We are particularly excited about the growing pipeline of opportunities of our ice and beverage solutions. At the residential segment, we have continued to make significant progress both strategically and operationally. During the quarter, we saw healthy growth with our premium indoor brands. This growth was offset by tariff-related headwinds impacting our outdoor product sales. Additionally, we experienced temporary shipment delays tied to the consolidation of operations, actions that will ultimately drive greater efficiency and profitability across the portfolio. A major milestone was the opening of our new state-of-the-art facility in Greenville, Michigan, which serves as a center of excellence for all our residential refrigeration brands. This facility will enable scaling of manufacturing, engineering, and logistics, resulting in enhanced customer service and long-term margin benefits. In food processing, improving international markets offset continued softness in the U.S.
During the quarter, we realized a strong order rate, which inflected positive after a soft start to the year as customers resumed deferred capital projects. Our ability to deliver comprehensive full-line solutions positions us to capture these opportunities. We also expanded our global network of innovation centers with the opening of the Middleby Innovation Center in Venice, Italy. A flagship hub for the food processing group focused on accelerating customer collaboration and technology development. This new innovation center is unique for the industry, and it will transform how we engage with our customers for years to come. Our strong financial results and conviction in Middleby's future underpin our capital allocation priorities. We expect to continue repurchasing shares using substantial cash flow we generate. This reflects our belief that Middleby's current share price undervalues the long-term earnings potential of our company.
By investing in share repurchases today, we are positioned to drive sustained shareholder value as our end markets recover. In parallel, we will continue to evaluate strategic alternatives across our portfolio to ensure we are optimizing Middleby's overall value creation potential. Now, looking beyond the near-term conditions, our competitive advantages are compounding. We have an unmatched portfolio of brands. We have the industry's strongest innovation pipeline. We are making targeted strategic investments in new and growing addressable markets such as ice and beverage. We are leading in next-generation automation and IoT capabilities that position us ahead of competitors for the years ahead. Most importantly, we have a world-class team around the globe whose commitment and execution continue to drive our success. While we are navigating some market volatility, Middleby is stronger today than any point in our history.
The foundation we've built positions us exceptionally well to capitalize when markets fully normalize. With that, now I'll turn it over to Bryan to discuss our financial performance in greater detail and guidance for the fourth quarter.
Bryan, CFO, Middleby: Thanks, Tim. Looking back at the third quarter, we were pleased to see revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS performance all exceeding the guidance we initiated last quarter. I note that adjusted EPS was positively impacted by $0.15 related to stock comp. For commercial food service, despite market conditions that continue to be challenging, we delivered 1.6% organic revenue growth. Positive impacts were seen from general market, institutional, and fast casual customer segments. We delivered $606 million of revenue and a solid EBITDA margin of nearly 27%. This would have exceeded 28% if not for tariff impacts. Customer engagement and interest in our leading technologies remained strong, especially in beverage dispense and ice products. At residential, on a year-over-year basis, we saw growth across our premium indoor businesses. Tariff impacts had a rather detrimental impact on outdoor products' revenues and also pressured margins.
Revenues were nearly $175 million, and our EBITDA margin was slightly below 10%. The cost impact of tariffs was a drag of more than 150 basis points on margins. At food processing, Q3 revenues exceeded $201 million, and our organic EBITDA margin was 21%. This would have been nearly 22% if not for tariff impacts. Margins were further impacted by geographic mix. The Q3 performance exhibited some of the short-term lumpiness that can sometimes be seen in this business. Ahead of what will be a rather strong Q4, especially across our brand serving the protein space and in automation solutions. We are experiencing a strengthening order rate and growing backlog. On a consolidated basis, total company adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was over $196 million. Adjusted EPS was $2.37.
As noted in our earnings release today, we recorded impairment charges of $709 million during the quarter to write down the book value of the residential segment to its estimated fair market value. Regarding tariffs, the adverse net impact to EBITDA in Q3 was approximately $12 million. We estimate that the Q4 impact will be $5-$10 million. This continues to be a subject where tariffs—this continues to be subject to where tariffs finally land—and is also subject to risks, particularly in key supply chain markets of China and India, which continue to be especially volatile. The benefits of pricing and operational actions we have taken are expected to fully offset tariff impacts as we begin 2026. Q3 operating cash flow exceeded $176 million, up 12.5% year-over-year, and free cash flow was over $156 million. Our leverage ratio per our credit agreement at quarter's end was 2.3 times.
Please recall that on September 1, our convertible notes matured. Accordingly, borrowings on our revolving credit facility have increased, and our interest expense will be higher in Q4, estimated at $28-$30 million. Regarding capital allocation, earlier this year, we communicated the decision to deploy the vast majority of our free cash flow to share repurchases. Year to date, our free cash flow is $365 million, yet we have used $500 million to repurchase over 3.5 million shares at an average price of $144.55 per share. We've reduced our share count by 6.4% during 2025. Looking ahead to the coming quarters, we will continue to be opportunistic as we have excess capital to deploy. We will do so while maintaining the financial flexibility needed for strategic growth investments. Regarding today's updated outlook for the remainder of the year, I offer the following perspectives.
At commercial food service, we are seeing pressure to a few of our largest QSR customers, which is constraining delivering sequential revenue growth. For food processing, with improving order activity, the fourth quarter will be the strongest of the year as is the normal pattern for this unit. Lastly, in the residential segment, I characterize market conditions as fairly stable. For Q4, which will also be our strongest revenue quarter of the year, we are forecasting a typical yet modest seasonal step-up in revenues. For Q4, we expect to achieve the following. Total company revenue of $990 million-$1,020 million. By segment, this is comprised of commercial food service at $570-$580 million, residential kitchen at $180-$190 million, and food processing at $240-$250 million. Adjusted EBITDA is forecasted to be between $200 million and $210 million.
Adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $2.19-$2.34, assuming approximately 50.4 million weighted average shares outstanding. For the full year, we expect to achieve the following: total revenues of $3.85-$3.89 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $779-$789 million, and adjusted EPS of $8.99-$9.14 based on the sum of four individual quarters. Please refer to slide 7 of the presentation we have posted online at our website for all those details. We will provide guidance for 2026 in conjunction with our release of fourth quarter results. I will conclude my comments with a quick update on the food processing spin-off. We remain confident in our ability to execute the necessary actions to have a successful transaction. Activities to ensure the spin company will be operating effectively, efficiently, and independently at inception remain on track.
I reiterate what I noted last quarter in that we expect to complete the spinoff in the first half of 2026. More specific information about timelines and business matters will be provided later in the year. In the meantime, I do note that as part of the registration process with the SEC, we will first need to complete the 2025 financial statements audit. This will happen by the beginning of March of 2026. It will be quickly followed by a filing of a registration statement. Potential transaction effectiveness then is currently anticipated in May of 2026. That concludes our prepared remarks, and we are now ready to take your questions.
Conference Operator: At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star and one on your telephone keypad. You may withdraw yourself from the queue at any time by pressing star two. Again, for your questions, that is star and one. We'll move first to Mick Dobray with Baird. Your line is open.
Mick Dobray, Analyst, Baird: Thank you for taking the question, and good morning, everyone.
Steve, Executive, Middleby: Morning, babe.
Mick Dobray, Analyst, Baird: Morning. Gosh. There's a whole lot to talk about here, I guess. Maybe where I would start is with a question on just the strategic evaluation of the company more broadly. You obviously told us that residential is now part of this review process. I understand you don't want to comment further, but the way I interpreted your statement, Tim, is to suggest that there's more to it than just the spin of processing, maybe strategic evaluation of Rezi. Is there something going on in commercial food service as well that maybe you're working on or that shareholders need to be aware of? For food processing specifically, appreciate the timeline. I'm curious as to how you're thinking about the management team that will be running this business.
Anything that you can share with us procedurally in terms of the things that you have accomplished thus far in anticipation of this spin? Thank you.
Steve, Executive, Middleby: Yeah. I'll take the second one first. As Bryan just kind of mentioned in his remarks, we have made significant progress, I'll say, in separating, standing up the company. We feel like we are on track. I know that we've made kind of limited announcements thus far, but we do anticipate in the fourth quarter that we'd start shedding light on some of the things that we've already accomplished and the plans going forward, kind of along with maybe a little bit more details around the timeline of execution of the spin in the first half of next year. We do feel like we are in good shape and have line of sight of separating the companies and remain excited about that. Yeah. I mean, I think, as I've said in my comments and said probably for a long time, we have three industry-leading portfolios.
We think they're best in class. They have highest margins, and they're well-positioned with a lot of the strategic investments that we've made in each of those portfolios. Really, as we've kind of undergone this exercise, which started last year, it's really how do we maximize the value of those portfolios for the long term, make sure they all reach their full potential, and we think there's a lot of shareholder value creation there. It's really a continuation of that process and kind of our long-term vision for each of those segments. I mean, you shouldn't read anything into commercial. Commercial is our core business. It's a phenomenal business. I think as we kind of go through this process, that will allow us to ensure that we've got greater focus on that segment and each of those segments. I think the strategic review aligns with.
The journey that we've been on in each of those platforms for a long period of time.
Mick Dobray, Analyst, Baird: Okay. Okay. That's helpful. My follow-up on commercial food service. I'm looking at the fourth quarter guidance, and there is, if I'm doing the math right, it seems to imply an organic decline of somewhere around mid-single digit on a year-over-year basis and the business down sequentially. I mean, from a seasonal standpoint, this is a departure from what we normally see in the fourth quarter being down, called a mid-single digit sequentially. I guess I'm curious as to what's driving that. It sounds like QSR is driving that. The point here is that while we're looking at Q3, and we saw a bit of a recovery, that's not carrying into Q4. Was Q3 unique in any way? Was there some demand pulled forward or stocking or anything of the sort? How do you assess the broader trends in this business.
Especially as we start thinking about 2026? Is that going to be yet another year of erosion based on what we know thus far? Or is there any reason to be more optimistic? Thank you.
Steve, Executive, Middleby: I think Bryan can comment on the numbers. I'll start off and then kick it to Steve. I mean, the markets are volatile, right? I mean, I think as we mentioned in the comments, we are seeing strength in certain areas, and we're performing well in those areas. The general market with our dealers, I think we're doing well there. Some of that is because of the investments that we've made over time. Other areas of growth, the emerging chains, retail. QSR has been tougher, right? I mean, I think you can look across the segment and what's been reported over the course of the year, not just this quarter with traffic, etc. We feel we're very well positioned in the QSR segment. I think our relationships are stronger.
The pipeline of opportunities, the products that we've got approved were a meaningful part of what we think is the future. Plans that they have for, I'll say, operational efficiencies and menu development. Because of the market backdrop, you see different purchasing patterns across those chains, right? I think that's what we've been challenged with and creates some volatility from quarter to quarter. It does give us optimism as we go into next year because of how we are positioned. I think some of the things that we see them executing on strategically today are benefits I think that they will see in their business next year, and we're kind of part of those plans. I'll say that's kind of a broader comment. Steve, I think, why don't you?
Yeah. Meg, I would just add on a couple of thoughts to comment on what Tim just said. Again, I think the chains, the QSR specifically that Tim said, obviously have been challenged the last really 12 to 18 months. As Tim said, I think the relationships that we have there continue to be strong. I think as traffic in that space continues to be tough, it remains obviously a challenge for the fourth quarter and probably into early next year. I think the positive is what you're seeing in the third quarter is investments we've made in other segments beyond just the QSR space that are starting to come through the dealer segment, which Tim talked about. I also want to highlight as we think about emerging chains, there's a lot of focus in the U.S. There's a lot of focus internationally as well for us.
It's a completely new white space that I feel like we're very under-penetrated in, and we've made a lot of investments in our people, in our innovation kitchens we've opened in Europe, both now in Munich and in Spain. I think there's so many emerging chains in those spaces that probably many of us in the U.S. have not heard of that are big opportunities for us. I think as we think about how next year unfolds, I think the dealer business, the emerging chain business, a lot of the fast casual space is very positive next year. I think even though the QSR space remains challenged, I do think you're starting to see some of the QSRs, even this quarter, as they've reported, start to see some trend in the right direction.
I think QSRs, as we get into next year, to answer the question, trend better. I also think there's so much underlying demand in the other segments that we're just starting to see our investments pay off. I think that's why we feel good about next year, even though fourth quarter with the QSRs remains somewhat challenged.
Mick Dobray, Analyst, Baird: All right. Good luck, guys.
Steve, Executive, Middleby: Thanks, Meg.
Conference Operator: We'll move next to Sari Boroditsky with Jefferies. Your line is open.
James, Analyst, Jefferies: Good morning. This is James. I'm for Sari. Thanks for taking questions. I guess sticking with the commercial food service here, you just talked about QSR traffic remains a headwind. Based on the data, that's kind of weakening further as of the latest data available. In this backdrop, what are the non-traffic levers that can still drive sales among QSRs, or is traffic the sole driver here? How many periods of traffic recovery would you need to see before chains kind of step out investment here?
Steve, Executive, Middleby: Yeah, James, this is Steve again. Good question. I do think traffic is certainly a major driver. I think as traffic starts to inflect, I think that's when you start to see the QSRs pick back up, whether it's on new store openings or investment in the kitchen. I think one of the trends that we have spoken about that we're really seeing in the QSR space is as they are challenged on, I would say, traditional traffic through the restaurant, they're all looking at how do I drive additional day parts. A big trend there has been the emphasis around beverage. I think you're seeing in the QSR space concepts that you would never expect to have a premium beverage offering in their portfolio are moving towards that. That is 100% to drive new day parts.
Breakfast challenge, how do I get people coming in in the afternoon between lunch and dinner as an example. That is very well. We're very well positioned from that front because there's really no other company that can offer a full beverage solution that goes anywhere from ice to dispense, coffee, beer, water. If you're incorporating a new beverage platform as a QSR, to be able to go one company that can give you the whole solution. Support from a global standpoint is, we think, a very powerful proposition for our customers. That's how I think the QSRs are trying to overcome the traffic challenges is by looking at additional day parts for traffic.
James, Analyst, Jefferies: Got it. That's very helpful. I guess on the guidance here, on EBITDA guidance, can you kind of please walk us through the contribution by each segment for Q, how you think about it?
Steve, Executive, Middleby: We've provided the level of guidance that we're going to provide for now. So I don't have specific numbers for each segment. But I think if you do the math, I mean, there's not going to be significant deviations from where we've been currently.
James, Analyst, Jefferies: Got it. Thank you.
Conference Operator: We'll move next to Tommy Zakaria with JPMorgan. Your line is open.
Hey, this is Alton Guire. I'm for Tommy. Thanks for taking my questions. My first one is on the tariff front. I was wondering if you're taking any incremental pricing for the latest Section 232 tariff announced back in, I think it was August. If there's any additional color on how the customer reception on pricing has been in the industry across the board, that'd be much appreciated. Thanks.
Steve, Executive, Middleby: Yeah, good morning. This is Steve. Maybe I'll take the first pass and pass it around. Specific in commercial food service, again, our approach when tariffs first broke in the beginning of the year was to take a little bit more of a wait-and-see approach before we went and announcing massive potential price increases as so many of our competitors did. I think we tried to be very thoughtful to get as many facts and data to support pricing initiatives to offset the tariff. We did announce and execute a July 1 price increase within commercial that has, as this back half of the year has unfolded, obviously, come through more and more. We've additionally spent a lot of time focused on operational initiatives, whether insourcing more and more into the U.S. or leveraging.
Capabilities we have in facilities like Nogales, Mexico, where we have some in-house manufacturing, coupled with supply chain, just our overall supply chain leverage that we have from a broad base. As this fourth quarter finishes up, we have expected to be covering the tariff impact from a cost standpoint through pricing and those other initiatives by the end of the year. As you go through the other two platforms, residential is slightly more impacted than food processing just because of the grill platform and the China space. Food processing does not source as many components from the China space as well. That is why they are a little bit less impacted. Really, still across all three platforms, we have said since the middle of this year that our expectation was to be.
Neutral in terms of covering the tariff cost impact through pricing, supply chain initiatives, and operational initiatives. We remain on target to do so.
Honestly, just a quick follow-up. I think FP appears to be seeing some improved market dynamics, realizing solid order growth in the quarter. I was wondering if you could, I guess, share some additional color on what the key drivers were for improved conversion of some of those larger projects that are out there. Thanks.
If this is Bryan, I will address that one. As I noted, it is skewing a little bit more to the protein side of things as well as automation and washing type of solutions. We have, I will call it, adjacencies to just handling the proteins. You may also understand that we tend to be a little bit more exposed to red meats and dry-cured meats and the like. We are just seeing some greater investments coming together there. Having said that, there are a little bit of signs of some improvements on the bakery side as well. I will say we have seen good strength in snacks and are very happy with the performance that we are seeing in acquisitions made over the past year that address positive trends in things related to tortilla chips and prepared cakes and the like. Again, it is.
Seeing further investments and I think some of our customers' confidence in the protein markets that we serve. Also benefiting some in poultry too. Obviously, our exposure there is not significant, and that is an area we've noted for desire for growth and expanding our capabilities.
Understood. Thanks. I'll pass it on.
Conference Operator: We'll take our next question from Jeff Hammond with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Jeff Hammond, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Yeah. Hi. Good morning, guys.
Steve, Executive, Middleby: Hey, Jeff.
Tim Fitzgerald, CEO, Middleby: Hey, Jeff.
Jeff Hammond, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: I guess just on Res Kitchen, just I think when you did the food processing spin, you got a lot of questions on why not Res Kitchen. Just from your view, what's changed to kind of revisit that? Then just on the grill business, around tariffs, just what are you doing or thinking about to structurally change your footprint going forward to kind of manage that tariff issue? Thanks.
Tim Fitzgerald, CEO, Middleby: Yeah. We did start moving some of our production from China to other parts of Asia and elsewhere. That was something that we mentioned last quarter. That actually is underway and being executed in the fourth quarter. That will better position the platform going into next year. The slight reduction also kind of announced in tariffs here recently in China does help that platform as well. We pick up a bit on the bottom line, but it also better positions us on the top line from a pricing standpoint going forward. Part of the outdoor platform is manufactured in the U.S. as well, kind of on the premium end of things with a Lynx Grill. Certainly, we're continuing to evaluate opportunities to onshore some of the products there. Yeah, I'm sorry. Jeff, your first question, I mean, I think.
That's been an ongoing review of the portfolio. I'll say I'll probably just be repetitive with the comments I made earlier. I think we were looking at the portfolio holistically, even as of last year, that kind of led us to the sequence of activities and announcements, which has led to most recently the announced review of residential.
Jeff Hammond, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Okay. That's helpful. Then just on food processing, margins have stepped down quite a bit year to year. I think you mentioned mix and tariff, and maybe you can spike that out a little more. As you look at the pipeline and you look at maybe some of the incoming orders, how are you thinking about margins as we go into Q4 and as we go into 2026 and the spin?
Steve, Executive, Middleby: Yeah. Jeff, this is Bryan. As I go through my comments here, I am thinking of things on an organic basis because obviously, there's always an impact of, I'll say, improving the operations once we've acquired them. In terms of, I'll say, the year-over-year margin pressure, because that's really what we're seeing, I think Q3 and Q4 were pretty close together, even with a little less operating leverage that comes through in Q3, gripping the volumes and also how there's a fair amount of our factories that are in Europe that have different, I'll call it, work patterns in the third quarter. We did note, I'll say, in the neighborhood of 100 basis points of impacts from tariffs that we'll continue to try and work through on a cost-wise perspective.
There are also, I'll call it, market dynamics at play that are driving a pricing impact as well. That would be the other factor, I would say. As we look into Q4 with the improving revenues and trends, we do expect the fourth quarter to be better than the third quarter. As we take more of that medium-term outlook, as we do have larger orders and we're selling on return and the great benefits that we bring our customers, that does tend to be margin-enhancing for us. There are actions we've been taking on pricing, whether it's on the parts and service side of the business or also making sure we're being responsive in how we manage pricing on the contract. I think, again, given the actions we're taking, given the improving orders and backlogs, that should drive.
A positive margin trend as we think about when we come in 2026 versus 2025.
Tim Fitzgerald, CEO, Middleby: I think just from a spin standpoint, I mean, I think we're inflecting right now. I think it's good. We've got some momentum building as we go through the latter part of the year and the first half of next year. I think the pipeline has been strong. Now, as orders convert, that puts us in a pretty strong position. I think typically that's going to be the biggest driver with margins. I think then, as Steve kind of talked about, we'll have overcome some of the tariff challenges as well. I mean, I think we feel like it's a pretty good setup for the first half of next year as we start to execute on the spin.
Jeff Hammond, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Okay. Thanks a lot.
Conference Operator: Once more for your questions, that is star and one. We'll move next to Tim Thien with Raymond James. Your line is open.
Thank you. Good morning. I've got two, if I may, on the commercial business. The first, just thinking back to the framework we talked about a couple of years ago with respect to kind of what's going to drive EBITDA or what can drive EBITDA margins in that commercial business, sales mix was one of the big levers that we saw. Obviously, you fast forward and the volumes quite haven't come through probably like we expected. I'm just curious, as you kind of revisit that and think through that. Technology and automation was highlighted earlier. Presumably, that continues to be an emphasis. I'm curious how kind of that has developed in terms of as a catalyst to support margins, but also, I mean, the emphasis and the strength in ice and beverage. I'm just curious.
I'm assuming that would be additive or kind of supportive of that sale, but not sure. Given that, the growth in that channel, is that a fair assumption, i.e., it is favorable to mix? We'll start with that one, please.
Tim Fitzgerald, CEO, Middleby: Yeah. You are correct. That has been part of the strategy to expand our margins, right? As we went through, I'll say, kind of post-COVID, we've cut a lot of SKUs that were lower margin. We've launched a lot of new products. Those new products, we still expect to be a big part of the future. Yet to be seen. Although certainly, we've gotten traction and there's been announcements of wins that are out there. We see that as continuing to be a building pipeline, both to drive automation and efficiency in the kitchen in our core cooking categories, as well as new market share gains. In categories that we've not been, which is the ice and beverage. We think those are both attractive margins and will be accretive over time. Ice and beverage is still a.
It's relatively large now, but it's still a new part of Middleby. And it's got slightly lower margins than the hot side, but they're kind of mid-20s. So they're very attractive and expanding. And as a lot of the new products that James has highlighted on calls come out, we think those are going to be pretty attractive margins kind of as we go forward. As you kind of think about the immediacy, right? We're, I'll say, holding serve as we're going through all these tariff challenges as well, right? Those are not insignificant. So there's a lot of puts and takes as we kind of go through the current period. But I think we're well-positioned for the next several years as a lot of these new product initiatives, I'll say, come online with our customers, which we feel pretty confident with.
Got it. Okay. Can you update us on the backlog in that business and where, I don't know, where the end of the third quarter, where you're expecting to end the year, and just thinking if that's supportive of kind of the earlier discussion as to whether or not 2026 could be a growth year? Just maybe put that order backlog in the context of where you normally operate into a fiscal year. Thank you.
I mean, backlog is pretty short in that business. I mean, I think we really look at kind of the pipeline of opportunities and how. We're pretty close with the customers, both our dealer partners and the chains. Backlog is really not the measurement for the commercial business.
Okay. Thank you.
Conference Operator: Once more for your questions, that is star and one. We'll pause a moment to allow further questions to queue. We will take a follow-up from Mick Dobray with Baird. Your line is open.
Mick Dobray, Analyst, Baird: Hey, yeah. Thanks for taking the follow-up. I just want to go back to commercial food service. You talk about some areas of growth. You talk about international, for instance, as being an area of growth. There are portions of your business, however, that are challenged. I guess I am wondering, as you're conducting these strategic reviews, as you think about growth through the cycle, as it were, how do you separate what is cyclical in compressing the growth in this segment versus what may be more structural in nature? How do you think about adjusting the portfolio? Do you have the right portfolio in this segment to ensure a return to more sustainable long-term growth? If the answer is no, that adjustments are needed, what are some of the things that you're contemplating in this regard?
Tim Fitzgerald, CEO, Middleby: Yeah, Meg, this is Steve. I'll take a first crack at it. I think about it in the portfolio in two ways. I would say, okay, what is the core part of the commercial portfolio that are, again, the core brands that have been part of the portfolio for the last 15 or 20 years that I think support. I don't know if it's the cyclical growth, but just the core growth that has kind of built Middleby Commercial Food Service to where it is today. You have that core platform that I think as we work through these macro backdrops that we've had to navigate, whether COVID or supply chain, now tariffs, I do think will support sustainable quarter-over-quarter growth. I then think as we have expanded the portfolio.
Into the new categories that are going to drive growth beyond the core, I think that's where the secret sauce is going to come from. I think that's what has not been unlocked yet. I think those, again, are all the categories that we keep talking about. Around beverage, ice, automation. We're such early days, I feel like, in those platforms. I think that we do have the right portfolio because, again, I think we are uniquely positioned that we're the only company that has both of those pieces to it, the core business, and I think the right pieces from products, from technologies that support exponential growth in years to come. I don't know if it's quite answering your question, but I think the answer is yes, we have the right products in the portfolio. I think we've appropriately added.
Over the last five years throughout all this disruption, the right products to the portfolio. For when things really get going after hopefully the macro backdrop is a little bit more favorable. Yeah. I mean, and I'll maybe round that out, and it's a little bit repetitive. I mean, I think a lot of the things that we've talked about with innovation and new investments are around categories that we do think are the longer-term growth drivers in food service, right? In cooking, you've heard us, we focus on. In ventilus, we focus on electrification. We see the industry moving to digital, right? We've invested in a control platform across our portfolio. We've combined that with IoT, which we think we've got long-term significant benefits, right? That actually cuts across our core cooking portfolio. We are trying to position where we see the.
Long-term trends and growth. Then expanding into the faster-growing categories. That is why we've selected ice and beverage, right? You can see those trends with our customers. We've kind of been very specific in the areas that we've invested in and emphasized and shifted to. I mean, I think that's why we feel the portfolio is well-positioned. We'll continue to evolve that thinking. I think it's a good question. We've always got to go back and review the portfolio in its entirety. I mean, I think the big levers and themes, those are the areas that we've gone after. I think that's why we've got a very unique portfolio that is very well-positioned as we kind of go through the next three to five years.
Mick Dobray, Analyst, Baird: All right. Thank you for that.
Conference Operator: It does appear that there are no further questions at this time. I would now like to hand it back to management for any additional or closing remarks.
Tim Fitzgerald, CEO, Middleby: Thank you, everybody, for joining today's call. We appreciate it. We will speak to you next quarter.
Conference Operator: This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time and have a wonderful afternoon.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.
