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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 10.3% - 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fair Value | A$0.32 - A$0.42 | A$0.36 |
| Upside | 58.4% - 105.3% | 73.7% |
| Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
| (AUD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
| Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
| Revenue | 57 | 79 | 88 | 95 | 98 | 100 | |
| % Growth | -28.1% | 39.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | |
| EBITDA | -3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | |
| % of Revenue | -5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | |
| Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
| Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
| (AUD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
| EBITDA | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | |
| Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D&A | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | |
| EBIT | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |
| Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
| NOPAT | (5) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Capital Expenditures | #NUM! | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) |
| NWC Investment | 13 | (13) | (5) | (4) | (2) | (1) | 0 |
| (+) D&A | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Free Cash Flow | #NUM! | (12) | (2) | (0) | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| % Growth | NM | NM | NM | NM | 44% | 37% | |