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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.5x |
Fair Value | €28.15 - €31.35 | €29.75 |
Upside | -1.6% - 9.6% | 4.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. | TUSK | NasdaqGS:TUSK |
ProPetro Holding Corp. | PUMP | NYSE:PUMP |
Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. | FET | NYSE:FET |
Oil States International, Inc. | OIS | NYSE:OIS |
DMC Global Inc. | BOOM | NasdaqGS:BOOM |
NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. | MUH0 | DB:MUH0 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TUSK | PUMP | FET | OIS | BOOM | MUH0 | |||
NasdaqGS:TUSK | NYSE:PUMP | NYSE:FET | NYSE:OIS | NasdaqGS:BOOM | DB:MUH0 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -21.4% | -6.8% | -3.1% | -7.4% | 10.1% | -4.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | -6.4% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 35.2% | 11.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -39.3% | -11.4% | 10.5% | -11.5% | -10.6% | 14.1% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -29.3% | 5.9% | -7.9% | -4.2% | 4.8% | -4.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -6.8% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 10.6% | -2.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -23.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -23.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.32x | 0.61x | 0.58x | 0.58x | 0.71x | 0.58x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | -1.4x | 15.5x | 13.3x | 53.9x | 22.5x | 21.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.52x | 0.53x | 0.30x | 0.46x | 0.27x | 0.55x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.32x | 0.58x | 0.71x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.44x | 0.57x | 0.75x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.54x | 0.57x | 0.59x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 163 | 163 | 163 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 87 | 92 | 97 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6) | (6) | (6) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 81 | 86 | 91 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 32.04 | 33.85 | 35.66 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 29.58 | 31.26 | 32.93 | 28.60 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 3.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TUSK | PUMP | FET | OIS | BOOM | MUH0 | |
Enterprise Value | 60 | 875 | 476 | 403 | 459 | 85 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 61 | 58 | 45 | 65 | 14 | 26 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (26) | (175) | (273) | (151) | (116) | (15) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (187) | (17) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 98 | 758 | 248 | 318 | 170 | 79 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 48.1 | 103.2 | 12.3 | 61.8 | 20.2 | 2.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.04 | 7.35 | 20.11 | 5.15 | 8.42 | 30.97 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.04 | 7.35 | 20.11 | 5.15 | 8.42 | 28.60 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 |