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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 21.4x - 23.6x | 22.5x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 16.4x - 18.1x | 17.2x |
Fair Value | ₹511.75 - ₹577.68 | ₹544.72 |
Upside | 5.8% - 19.4% | 12.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Ritco Logistics Limited | RITCO | NSEI:RITCO |
Shreeji Translogistics Limited | 540738 | BSE:540738 |
AVG Logistics Limited | AVG | NSEI:AVG |
Chartered Logistics Limited | 531977 | BSE:531977 |
Orissa Bengal Carrier Limited | OBCL | NSEI:OBCL |
VRL Logistics Limited | VRLLOG | NSEI:VRLLOG |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
RITCO | 540738 | AVG | 531977 | OBCL | VRLLOG | ||
NSEI:RITCO | BSE:540738 | NSEI:AVG | BSE:531977 | NSEI:OBCL | NSEI:VRLLOG | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 16.2% | 9.6% | 17.0% | -23.6% | -22.5% | 5.1% | |
3Y CAGR | 45.3% | 69.8% | 82.1% | -10.6% | -20.5% | 27.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 18.1% | -81.5% | 5.5% | 143.4% | 423.6% | 16.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 7.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 9.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 6.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 1.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 8.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.89x | 0.42x | 1.08x | 1.63x | 0.46x | 1.66x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.2x | 11.4x | 9.1x | 20.4x | 27.9x | 15.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 13.9x | 28.4x | 11.3x | 30.4x | 53.4x | 20.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 11.3x | 28.4x | 53.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.6x | 24.2x | 42.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 21.4x | 22.5x | 23.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 2,544 | 2,544 | 2,544 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 54,414 | 57,278 | 60,142 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (10,020) | (10,020) | (10,020) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 44,394 | 47,258 | 50,122 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 87.5 | 87.5 | 87.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 507.55 | 540.29 | 573.03 | ||||
FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 507.55 | 540.29 | 573.03 | 483.85 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 4.9% | 11.7% | 18.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | RITCO | 540738 | AVG | 531977 | OBCL | VRLLOG | |
Enterprise Value | 9,865 | 1,049 | 5,914 | 1,283 | 1,472 | 52,341 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 62 | 131 | 82 | 43 | 21 | 250 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (2,328) | (439) | (2,141) | (280) | (396) | (10,270) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 7,599 | 741 | 3,855 | 1,045 | 1,097 | 42,322 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 28.3 | 69.9 | 15.1 | 120.2 | 21.1 | 87.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 268.30 | 10.60 | 256.00 | 8.69 | 52.02 | 483.85 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 268.30 | 10.60 | 256.00 | 8.69 | 52.02 | 483.85 | |
Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |