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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 6.8x - 7.5x | 7.2x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 7.3x - 8.1x | 7.7x |
Fair Value | ¥68.75 - ¥75.66 | ¥72.20 |
Upside | -13.3% - -4.6% | -8.9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Guangdong Dtech Technology Co., Ltd. | 301377 | SZSE:301377 |
Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. | 837 | SZSE:000837 |
Sinomach Precision Industry Group Co., Ltd. | 2046 | SZSE:002046 |
Changzhou Evergreen Technology Co., Ltd. | 1324 | SZSE:001324 |
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co.,Ltd | 300124 | SZSE:300124 |
Zhejiang XiaSha Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. | 1306 | SZSE:001306 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
301377 | 837 | 2046 | 1324 | 300124 | 1306 | |||
SZSE:301377 | SZSE:000837 | SZSE:002046 | SZSE:001324 | SZSE:300124 | SZSE:001306 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 20.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 38.9% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 10.9% | -2.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 38.3% | 13.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 23.1% | -0.4% | -7.7% | -9.4% | 32.8% | NM | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 17.6% | -1.2% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 13.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 20.3% | 1.9% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 15.7% | -0.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 12.8% | -1.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 7.10x | 3.92x | 3.44x | 4.33x | 5.03x | 7.79x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 55.3x | -290.6x | 44.4x | 40.5x | 40.4x | 87.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 7.47x | 3.91x | 3.35x | 5.34x | 5.16x | 8.08x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 3.44x | 4.33x | 7.10x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.00x | NM | 0.00x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 6.80x | 7.16x | 7.52x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 609 | 609 | 609 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,141 | 4,359 | 4,577 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 190 | 190 | 190 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 4,332 | 4,550 | 4,767 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 62.0 | 62.0 | 62.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 69.86 | 73.38 | 76.89 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 69.86 | 73.38 | 76.89 | 79.30 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -11.9% | -7.5% | -3.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 301377 | 837 | 2046 | 1324 | 300124 | 1306 | |
Enterprise Value | 10,808 | 14,918 | 8,763 | 2,038 | 179,515 | 4,726 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 750 | 1,556 | 551 | 488 | 4,514 | 414 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 50 | 179 | 0 | 5,087 | 16 | |
(-) Debt | (183) | (940) | (833) | (5) | (4,351) | (240) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | (654) | (142) | (6) | (431) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 11,373 | 14,930 | 8,518 | 2,514 | 184,334 | 4,917 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 410.0 | 1,007.4 | 528.8 | 136.6 | 2,692.2 | 62.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 27.74 | 14.82 | 16.11 | 18.41 | 68.47 | 79.30 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 27.74 | 14.82 | 16.11 | 18.41 | 68.47 | 79.30 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |