BofA’s Hartnett says concentrated U.S. stock returns are likely to persist
On Friday, Baird analysts made a notable adjustment to JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) & Co.’s stock outlook. The firm’s analyst, David George, upgraded the banking giant’s stock rating from Underperform to Neutral and increased the price target to $220 from the previous $215. This change comes after observing the stock’s recent performance in the market.
JPMorgan shares have declined approximately 11% over the last month, a sharper drop than the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY), which fell by 5.5%. Baird analysts highlighted that it has become challenging to justify a bearish stance on JPMorgan given this recent downturn. Despite the stock’s valuation remaining on the higher side at roughly 2.55 times its tangible book value, the analysts do not recommend purchasing the stock. However, they also see no compelling reason to maintain a short position.
The rationale behind the adjustment is partly based on the expectation that defensive-minded market participants may gravitate towards JPMorgan if economic data begins to show more volatility. Baird’s analysis suggests that JPMorgan is in a strong position to capture market share across its various business segments while also enhancing margins and returns.
Furthermore, Baird acknowledges JPMorgan’s significant capital strength, which provides the bank with considerable flexibility for investment and capital return strategies, should it be economically viable. This robust capital position is seen as an asset that could support the company’s performance in a range of market conditions. InvestingPro analysis confirms this strength, showing the bank maintains a "GOOD" overall financial health score, with strong revenue growth of 14.5% and a 55-year track record of consistent dividend payments. For deeper insights into JPMorgan’s financial health metrics and additional ProTips, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.
The new price target of $220 reflects Baird’s revised stance on the stock, suggesting a level of confidence in JPMorgan’s ability to navigate the current financial landscape, even if the firm stops short of recommending the stock as a buy.
In other recent news, the U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has decided to drop a lawsuit against JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) concerning the Zelle payment service. The lawsuit, initially filed in December, accused the banks of insufficient consumer fraud protection. Meanwhile, Cineworld Group is planning an initial public offering (IPO) and exploring merger opportunities in the United States. The company has engaged JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Barclays (LON:BARC) Plc as advisors for these potential ventures. Additionally, JPMorgan Chase is undergoing a series of layoffs scheduled through 2025, affecting various departments as part of a strategic workforce reassessment. In personnel changes, Daniele Apa, a senior dealmaker in JPMorgan’s natural resources team, has retired after a career spanning over two decades. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve has announced the end of climate stress tests for major U.S. banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup (NYSE:C), and Goldman Sachs, meaning these institutions will not need to submit related data this year.
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