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🤼 As an investor, what do I need to know about US/China trade negotiations right now?
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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jun 18, 2025 20:00
5
Weeks
4
Days
12
Hours
11
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 18, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.690
4.00 - 4.25
15.1%
4.25 - 4.50
84.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | — | — | 0.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 15.1% | 14.8% | 31.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 84.9% | 85.2% | 67.4% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 30, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.720
3.75 - 4.00
8.1%
4.00 - 4.25
52.4%
4.25 - 4.50
39.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | — | — | 0.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 8.1% | 8.3% | 22.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 52.4% | 53.9% | 56.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 39.5% | 37.8% | 19.8% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.920
3.50 - 3.75
5.6%
3.75 - 4.00
39.1%
4.00 - 4.25
43.4%
4.25 - 4.50
11.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | — | 0.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 5.6% | 6.3% | 17.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 39.1% | 43.0% | 49.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 43.4% | 41.7% | 28.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2025 19:00
Future Price:
96.035
3.25 - 3.50
3.5%
3.50 - 3.75
26.4%
3.75 - 4.00
41.8%
4.00 - 4.25
23.8%
4.25 - 4.50
4.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 0.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 3.5% | 3.9% | 11.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 26.4% | 29.0% | 37.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 41.8% | 42.2% | 36.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 23.8% | 21.5% | 13.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
96.285
3.00 - 3.25
2.1%
3.25 - 3.50
17.5%
3.50 - 3.75
35.8%
3.75 - 4.00
30.8%
4.00 - 4.25
12.0%
4.25 - 4.50
1.7%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | — | 0.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 7.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 17.5% | 19.7% | 27.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 35.8% | 37.3% | 36.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.8% | 29.2% | 21.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 26, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.350
2.75 - 3.00
1.0%
3.00 - 3.25
9.0%
3.25 - 3.50
25.7%
3.50 - 3.75
33.6%
3.75 - 4.00
22.4%
4.00 - 4.25
7.4%
4.25 - 4.50
1.0%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | — | 0.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.7% | 28.0% | 31.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 33.6% | 33.5% | 30.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 22.4% | 20.2% | 15.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 18, 2026 19:00
Future Price:
96.485
2.50 - 2.75
0.4%
2.75 - 3.00
4.7%
3.00 - 3.25
16.8%
3.25 - 3.50
29.4%
3.50 - 3.75
28.4%
3.75 - 4.00
15.4%
4.00 - 4.25
4.4%
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 16.8% | 18.3% | 22.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 29.4% | 30.4% | 31.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 28.4% | 27.5% | 24.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 15.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 29, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.560
2.25 - 2.50
0.1%
2.50 - 2.75
1.4%
2.75 - 3.00
7.5%
3.00 - 3.25
19.7%
3.25 - 3.50
29.1%
3.50 - 3.75
25.3%
3.75 - 4.00
12.8%
4.00 - 4.25
3.5%
4.25 - 4.50
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 19.7% | 20.9% | 23.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 29.1% | 29.8% | 29.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 25.3% | 24.6% | 21.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 17, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.650
2.25 - 2.50
0.5%
2.50 - 2.75
3.3%
2.75 - 3.00
11.3%
3.00 - 3.25
22.6%
3.25 - 3.50
28.0%
3.50 - 3.75
21.5%
3.75 - 4.00
10.0%
4.00 - 4.25
2.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 11.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 22.6% | 22.4% | 25.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 28.0% | 28.9% | 27.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 21.5% | 22.5% | 18.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 29, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.695
2.00 - 2.25
0.1%
2.25 - 2.50
0.9%
2.50 - 2.75
4.5%
2.75 - 3.00
13.0%
3.00 - 3.25
23.4%
3.25 - 3.50
27.0%
3.50 - 3.75
19.7%
3.75 - 4.00
8.8%
4.00 - 4.25
2.2%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 13.0% | 12.1% | 16.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 23.4% | 23.4% | 25.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 27.0% | 27.9% | 26.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 19.7% | 20.6% | 16.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 16, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.745
2.00 - 2.25
0.3%
2.25 - 2.50
1.6%
2.50 - 2.75
6.0%
2.75 - 3.00
14.8%
3.00 - 3.25
24.0%
3.25 - 3.50
25.7%
3.50 - 3.75
17.8%
3.75 - 4.00
7.7%
4.00 - 4.25
1.9%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 14.8% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 24.0% | 24.2% | 25.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.7% | 26.7% | 24.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 17.8% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 28, 2026 19:00
Future Price:
96.775
2.00 - 2.25
0.3%
2.25 - 2.50
1.8%
2.50 - 2.75
6.4%
2.75 - 3.00
15.3%
3.00 - 3.25
24.1%
3.25 - 3.50
25.3%
3.50 - 3.75
17.4%
3.75 - 4.00
7.4%
4.00 - 4.25
1.8%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 - 1.25 | — | — | — |
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 15.3% | 14.6% | 17.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 24.1% | 24.3% | 25.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.3% | 26.3% | 24.3% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 17.4% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 09, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.760
2.00 - 2.25
0.3%
2.25 - 2.50
1.7%
2.50 - 2.75
6.2%
2.75 - 3.00
14.9%
3.00 - 3.25
23.8%
3.25 - 3.50
25.3%
3.50 - 3.75
17.7%
3.75 - 4.00
7.8%
4.00 - 4.25
2.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 - 1.25 | — | — | — |
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 14.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 23.8% | 23.9% | 23.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.3% | 26.2% | 24.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 17.7% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: May 10, 2025 06:35 CEST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar set for weekly gains on trade optimism; euro near one-month low
By Investing.com - May 09, 2025
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar slipped slightly lower Friday, but was on course for weekly gains as trade tensions lessened and the Federal Reserve indicated it was in no hurry to cut rates. At 04:30...
Dollar gains after Fed meeting; sterling fails to gain from trade deal talk
By Investing.com - May 08, 2025
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar rose Thursday, retaining some strength after the Federal Reserve highlighted stagflation risks at its latest meeting, prompting traders to push out the chance of...
European stocks rise ahead of central bank meetings; AB Inbev impresses
By Investing.com - May 08, 2025
Investing.com - European equity indices rose Thursday, as investors digested a plethora of quarterly corporate earnings ahead of a series of central bank interest rate decisions, including from the...
Analysis
These 3 Dividend Stocks Still Offer Time to Capture May Distributions
By Damian Nowiszewski - May 08, 2025
The Fed held rates steady—but dividend season is just getting started. With earnings in full swing, smart income seekers are eyeing May’s payout plays. From energy to asset management, these three...
Market Is Tepid Over China Developments: 3 Takeaways
By Lance Roberts - May 08, 2025
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said that he will meet with Chinese officials in Switzerland to begin trade talks with China. A month ago, when markets were grossly oversold, news of trade...
US Index Futures Rise as Traders Await US-China Trade Talks
By Zain Vawda - May 08, 2025
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures rose after the U.S. and China announced a meeting in Switzerland this week. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the talks would aim to ease tensions, not make a deal,...