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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Sep 17, 2025 20:00
3
Weeks
5
Days
13
Hours
10
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
95.750
4.00 - 4.25
73.1%
4.25 - 4.50
26.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 73.1% | 78.4% | 92.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 26.9% | 21.6% | 7.8% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2025 19:00
Future Price:
95.865
3.75 - 4.00
37.2%
4.00 - 4.25
49.6%
4.25 - 4.50
13.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 37.2% | 45.2% | 55.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 49.6% | 45.7% | 41.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2025 20:00
Future Price:
96.105
3.50 - 3.75
25.6%
3.75 - 4.00
45.7%
4.00 - 4.25
24.5%
4.25 - 4.50
4.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 25.6% | 32.7% | 39.7% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 45.7% | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 24.5% | 19.2% | 14.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 26, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.175
3.25 - 3.50
12.1%
3.50 - 3.75
35.1%
3.75 - 4.00
35.7%
4.00 - 4.25
14.9%
4.25 - 4.50
2.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 12.1% | 16.2% | 20.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 35.1% | 39.1% | 42.7% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 35.7% | 32.5% | 29.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 14.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 18, 2026 19:00
Future Price:
96.325
3.00 - 3.25
6.5%
3.25 - 3.50
24.5%
3.50 - 3.75
35.4%
3.75 - 4.00
24.5%
4.00 - 4.25
8.1%
4.25 - 4.50
1.0%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 24.5% | 28.5% | 32.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 35.4% | 35.5% | 35.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 24.5% | 20.9% | 17.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 29, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.410
2.75 - 3.00
2.1%
3.00 - 3.25
12.3%
3.25 - 3.50
28.0%
3.50 - 3.75
31.9%
3.75 - 4.00
19.2%
4.00 - 4.25
5.8%
4.25 - 4.50
0.7%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 28.0% | 30.8% | 33.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 31.9% | 30.8% | 30.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 19.2% | 16.0% | 13.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 17, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.550
2.50 - 2.75
1.2%
2.75 - 3.00
7.9%
3.00 - 3.25
21.2%
3.25 - 3.50
30.2%
3.50 - 3.75
24.7%
3.75 - 4.00
11.6%
4.00 - 4.25
2.9%
4.25 - 4.50
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 21.2% | 24.0% | 26.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 30.2% | 30.8% | 31.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 24.7% | 22.4% | 21.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 29, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.635
2.25 - 2.50
0.4%
2.50 - 2.75
3.5%
2.75 - 3.00
12.6%
3.00 - 3.25
24.4%
3.25 - 3.50
28.3%
3.50 - 3.75
20.1%
3.75 - 4.00
8.5%
4.00 - 4.25
2.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 24.4% | 26.1% | 27.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 28.3% | 28.2% | 28.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 20.1% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 16, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.750
2.00 - 2.25
0.2%
2.25 - 2.50
1.6%
2.50 - 2.75
6.9%
2.75 - 3.00
17.0%
3.00 - 3.25
25.9%
3.25 - 3.50
25.2%
3.50 - 3.75
15.7%
3.75 - 4.00
6.1%
4.00 - 4.25
1.3%
4.25 - 4.50
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 17.0% | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.9% | 27.0% | 28.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.2% | 24.1% | 24.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 28, 2026 19:00
Future Price:
96.815
2.00 - 2.25
0.4%
2.25 - 2.50
2.6%
2.50 - 2.75
8.8%
2.75 - 3.00
18.6%
3.00 - 3.25
25.7%
3.25 - 3.50
23.5%
3.50 - 3.75
14.0%
3.75 - 4.00
5.2%
4.00 - 4.25
1.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 18.6% | 20.6% | 21.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.7% | 26.5% | 27.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 23.5% | 22.1% | 22.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 09, 2026 20:00
Future Price:
96.890
1.75 - 2.00
0.1%
2.00 - 2.25
0.9%
2.25 - 2.50
3.9%
2.50 - 2.75
11.0%
2.75 - 3.00
20.2%
3.00 - 3.25
25.2%
3.25 - 3.50
21.4%
3.50 - 3.75
12.0%
3.75 - 4.00
4.3%
4.00 - 4.25
0.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 20.2% | 21.9% | 22.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.2% | 25.5% | 26.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 21.4% | 19.9% | 20.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Aug 22, 2025 06:25 CEST
Fed Fund Rates
News
U.S. weekly jobless claims rose; seen at 235,000 last week
By Investing.com - Aug 21, 2025
Investing.com - The number of Americans filing for first-time unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, pointing to a further weakening of the country's labor market amid tariff-fueled...
Fed members lean into wait and see approach amid upside risk to inflation
By Investing.com - Aug 20, 2025
Investing.com -- Federal Reserve policymakers continued to echo a patient approach on further rate cuts pointing to early signs of tariff-induced inflation that suggest it would be appropriate to wait...
U.S. retail sales grew 0.5% on the month in July; momentum cooling
By Investing.com - Aug 15, 2025
Investing.com - U.S. retail sales grew less than expected in July, suggesting slowing momentum in consumer spending activity ahead of next month’s crucial Federal Reserve meeting. Retail sales rose by...
Analysis
Gold Represents Revolution Against a Fading System That Keeps Limping Along
By Gary Tanashian - Aug 21, 2025
The expiring system (in progress for years, actual expiration date unknown) has limped along, through Fed (monetary) and government (fiscal) oversight, fabulously enriching the rich and impairing the...
Inflation Ticks Up Amid Tariff Concerns
By Brent Schutte - Aug 18, 2025
Despite some turbulence throughout the week, markets ended the week higher across the board. However, there is growing evidence that tariffs are beginning to put upward pressure on inflation. The...
Bitcoin: Year-End $156K Scenario Requires Perfect Alignment of Macro Catalysts
By Günay Caymaz - Aug 15, 2025
Bitcoin surged to $124,447 before sharp profit-taking triggered a swift retreat. Shifting Fed expectations and political signals continue to steer crypto sentiment. All eyes now turn to support...