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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Feb 01, 2023 20:00
0
Weeks
5
Days
10
Hours
16
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Feb 01, 2023 20:00
Future Price:
95.420
4.50 - 4.75
99.4%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.6% | — | 35.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 99.4% | 98.6% | 64.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | — | 1.4% | — |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 22, 2023 19:00
Future Price:
95.350
4.50 - 4.75
11.9%
4.75 - 5.00
88.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 11.9% | 14.2% | 28.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 88.1% | 84.6% | 58.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | — | 1.2% | 12.6% |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 03, 2023 20:00
Future Price:
95.110
4.50 - 4.75
7.3%
4.75 - 5.00
58.9%
5.00 - 5.25
33.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 7.3% | 8.5% | 18.2% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 58.9% | 56.2% | 47.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 33.8% | 34.8% | 29.4% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | — | 0.5% | 4.6% |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 14, 2023 20:00
Future Price:
95.095
4.50 - 4.75
6.9%
4.75 - 5.00
55.5%
5.00 - 5.25
35.4%
5.25 - 5.50
2.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 6.9% | 7.9% | 16.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 55.5% | 53.1% | 44.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 35.4% | 36.2% | 31.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 7.1% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.5% |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 26, 2023 20:00
Future Price:
95.100
4.50 - 4.75
5.2%
4.75 - 5.00
43.5%
5.00 - 5.25
40.4%
5.25 - 5.50
10.4%
5.50 - 5.75
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 5.2% | 6.0% | 12.7% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 43.5% | 41.9% | 38.5% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 40.4% | 40.4% | 34.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.5% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | — | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 20, 2023 20:00
Future Price:
95.185
4.50 - 4.75
3.3%
4.75 - 5.00
29.7%
5.00 - 5.25
41.5%
5.25 - 5.50
21.2%
5.50 - 5.75
4.1%
5.75 - 6.00
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.2% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 29.7% | 28.3% | 29.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 41.5% | 41.0% | 35.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 21.2% | 22.2% | 20.3% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 01, 2023 19:00
Future Price:
95.370
4.50 - 4.75
2.0%
4.75 - 5.00
18.8%
5.00 - 5.25
36.6%
5.25 - 5.50
29.6%
5.50 - 5.75
11.2%
5.75 - 6.00
1.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 18.8% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 36.6% | 35.3% | 32.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 29.6% | 30.6% | 27.5% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 6.25 - 6.50 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 13, 2023 19:00
Future Price:
95.470
4.50 - 4.75
0.3%
4.75 - 5.00
4.9%
5.00 - 5.25
21.9%
5.25 - 5.50
35.4%
5.50 - 5.75
26.4%
5.75 - 6.00
9.5%
6.00 - 6.25
1.5%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 21.9% | 21.4% | 21.1% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 35.4% | 34.2% | 32.1% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 25.6% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% |
| 6.25 - 6.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 6.50 - 6.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jan 27, 2023 09:15 CET
Fed Fund Rates
News
Asia FX muted as PCE data looms, yen boosted by inflation
By Investing.com - Jan 27, 2023
By Ambar Warrick Investing.com -- Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Friday in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, while the Japanese yen rose as...
Asian stocks rise tracking positive U.S. GDP, Adani extends losses
By Investing.com - Jan 27, 2023
By Ambar Warrick Investing.com -- Most Asian stock markets rose on Friday as appetite for risk-driven assets was supported by better-than-expected U.S. economic growth data, while Indian stocks...
U.S. economy grew by 2.9% in Q4 - Commerce Department
By Investing.com - Jan 26, 2023
By Scott Kanowsky Investing.com -- U.S. economic growth eased, albeit by slightly less than expected, in the last three months of 2022, in a sign of the impact the Federal Reserve's recent monetary...
Analysis
Will Gold Be 3rd Time Lucky With $1,950 After PCE?
By Barani Krishnan/Investing.com - Jan 25, 2023
Gold has missed the $1,950 target by less than $10 twice this week If Friday’s PCE Index shows a meaningful inflation drop, gold could be 3rd time lucky Dollar, bond yields need to be aligned...
Market Faces Key Test Next Week as Round 1 of Mega-Cap Tech Earnings Looms
By Jesse Cohen/Investing.com - Jan 20, 2023
Wall Street’s Q4 earnings season shifts into high gear next week There will be a lot on the line when Microsoft and Tesla report earnings Here’s what to watch for in their latest...
Copper Creeps Toward June Highs in a Complicated China Bet
By Barani Krishnan/Investing.com - Jan 20, 2023
China’s worsening COVID woes might limit copper rally, outlooks say Possibility of US, European recessions add to global complications for metal LME copper could round year out by averaging...