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Ed Yardeni
Is the Recession Over Already? By Ed Yardeni - May 09, 2025

US Economy I: The Godot Recession Is Back During 2022, 2023, and 2024, most economists and investment strategists expected that the dramatic tightening of monetary policy would cause a recession....

Gary Tanashian
Stagflation or Deflation — Which Comes First? By Gary Tanashian - May 09, 2025

The question I have is whether the toxic global trade backdrop will help pivot the economy over the edge before prices have a chance to rise appreciably. That would be the “deflation first” scenario....

Lance Roberts
Employment Data Confirms Economy Is Slowing By Lance Roberts - May 09, 2025

While coming in much stronger than expected, the latest employment data confirmed what we already suspected: the economy is slowing. The reason the employment data is so important is that without...

Lance Roberts
Market Is Tepid Over China Developments: 3 Takeaways By Lance Roberts - May 08, 2025

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said that he will meet with Chinese officials in Switzerland to begin trade talks with China. A month ago, when markets were grossly oversold, news of trade...

Michael Kramer
Stagflation Casts a Shadow Over Markets By Michael Kramer - May 08, 2025

It wasn’t an inspiring Wednesday. There was a lot of back-and-forth trading, followed by a late surge on news that the Trump team plans to rescind the Biden-era AI diffusion rule and replace it with...

James Picerno
Rebound for Initial US Q2 GDP Nowcast Could Be Misleading By James Picerno - May 07, 2025

Preliminary estimates for the US economic activity in the second quarter point to a recovery following a mild decline for GDP in the first quarter. The obvious caveat: Q2 data is still sparse and so...

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