Bonds Analysis & Comment

Through the recent gyrations, markets seem to lack the conviction needed to push new lows in rates. The resulting range-trading environment brings lower rates of volatility and better risk appetite....

When I started working in the financial markets, bond traders were the cool kids. The equity guys drove Maseratis and acted like buffoons, but the bond guys drove sensible style like Mercedes and...

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates again this week and Chairman Jerome Powell says more hikes are coming. The bond market disagrees. The 2-Year Treasury yield – widely monitored as a...

I was going to write a technical column today about how the sensitivity of bonds (and consequently, lots of other asset prices) to interest rates increase as interest rates decline, and discuss the...

Interest rates have risen rather quickly as the Federal Reserve attempts to fight inflation. Will the move be a case of too far, too fast? Today’s long-term monthly chart of the United States 10-Year...

Important inflation data hits Tuesday before the Fed finishes its final meeting of the year on Wednesday Corporate bond spreads should continue to be monitored, but we are not seeing significant...

Considering our national debt and the debts of companies and consumers, it’s evident that the bond market is critical to our economy. This is likely why the iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate...

Weaker domestic inflation and lower dollar tailwinds for international fixed income Emerging market bonds have rallied sharply off their October low Continuation likely, but gains could be...

Last month I reported that the ‘fair value’ of the US 10-year Treasury yield appeared “lofty” relative to the average estimate for a combination model. In the weeks since, the...

The recent rise in real yields for inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIPS) looks compelling for locking in relatively attractive payout rates, but the usual risks with bonds still applies. That inspires...

2-year Treasury rates could be on their way to between 4% and 4.25% Fed monetary policy could be the main driver The 2-year appears to be breaking out from a technical standpoint Rates have been...

Treasury rates fell sharply as interest rate volatility dropped High-yield bonds rose big last month, but uncertainty lies ahead Traders monitoring important technical pattern on U.S. 10-year yield...

Avoiding another 75-basis-point hike in September looks tough Policymakers say focus should be on inflation, not recession Central banks, including the Fed, made mistakes that have led to...

Fed policymakers leaning to 75 basis-point hike this month FOMC voter Bullard calling for 4.0% policy rate by end-2022 ECB faces dilemma as Russian gas cuts dampen economic outlook Federal Reserve...