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On Wednesday, Berenberg analysts downgraded Borregaard ASA (BRG:NO) (OTC:BRRDF) stock from Buy to Hold, adjusting the price target to NOK205.00 from the previous NOK230.00. This change follows Borregaard’s Q1 2025 results, which were announced on Wednesday, April 30, displaying a 6% EBITDA beat driven by robust agriculture sales. These sales have notably enhanced the profitability mix within the division, leading to an unprecedented quarterly performance.
Despite the strong results in agriculture, other divisions of Borregaard did not meet consensus estimates. Analysts at Berenberg have expressed concerns regarding the sustainability of the profitability margins that were anticipated by the consensus. The downgrade reflects a cautious stance on the company’s financial outlook amid various market challenges.
The analysts highlighted several risks that could potentially affect Borregaard’s future performance. Among these risks are foreign exchange (FX) headwinds and a projected increase in wood costs starting from the second half of the year. Additionally, the impact of US tariffs on approximately 10% of Borregaard’s group sales is expected to have a direct effect on the company’s financials.
Furthermore, the market for second-generation (2G) bioethanol is facing oversupply issues, which could pose further challenges for Borregaard. The analysts’ decision to downgrade the stock rating and reduce the price target is an indication of their concern for these impending risks that may impact the company’s ability to maintain its current consensus expectations.
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