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Bernstein SocGen Group lowered its price target on FedEx (NYSE:FDX) to $249.00 from $282.00 on Friday, while maintaining a Market Perform rating on the prominent Air Freight & Logistics player’s stock. According to InvestingPro data, seven analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward for the upcoming period.
The firm cited concerns about FedEx’s ability to bridge initiatives between its current DRIVE program and the future Network 2.0 integration, suggesting this gap would make consensus earnings estimates for fiscal year 2026 difficult to achieve. Despite these concerns, FedEx remains profitable over the last twelve months and has maintained dividend payments for 24 consecutive years, with increases in the last four years.
Bernstein expects FedEx’s fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings to come in approximately 2% below the consensus estimate of $5.98 per share, which would put the full year at $18.04, toward the lower end of the company’s guidance range of $18.00-$18.60.
The research firm noted that while business fundamentals have held up better than expected, volatility in trade flows is likely impacting FedEx’s operations to some degree.
Bernstein expressed reluctance to endorse FedEx’s ability to meet what it called "relatively ambitious sell-side forecasts for earnings growth," citing both the initiative gap and execution risks associated with the complex Network 2.0 integration.
In other recent news, FedEx has announced a 5% increase in its annual dividend, raising it to $5.80 per share for fiscal year 2026, marking the fifth consecutive year of dividend growth. This decision underscores FedEx’s strategy to enhance stockholder value through consistent dividend payouts. In analyst updates, Wolfe Research has lowered its price target for FedEx stock to $253, maintaining an Outperform rating, and adjusted its fourth-quarter earnings per share estimate to $5.88, slightly below consensus. Meanwhile, Truist Securities has reiterated a Buy rating with a price target of $275, highlighting the potential value from the planned spin-off of FedEx Freight in June 2026. JPMorgan has also adjusted its outlook, lowering the price target to $260, citing concerns over stagnant demand and tariff uncertainties. UBS has reduced its price target to $311, maintaining a Buy rating despite noting a more unstable environment in FedEx’s international segment. These developments reflect a mix of cautious short-term expectations and positive long-term outlooks from various analyst firms.
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