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On Thursday, Bernstein analysts led by Alexia Howard increased their price target on The Simply Goods Group (NASDAQ:SMPL) shares to $48 from the previous target of $47, while maintaining an Outperform rating. Currently trading at $36.23, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is undervalued. The adjustment follows The Simply Goods Group's recent earnings report, which showed better than expected results for both the top and bottom lines in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, with revenue growth of 9.07% over the last twelve months. The company also reaffirmed its full-year guidance, a positive sign amidst the recent trend of guidedowns from other companies.
The Simply Goods Group, with its robust market capitalization of $3.66 billion, has stood out by keeping its fiscal year 2025 guidance unchanged since the announcement of its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings. This consistency is notable in the U.S. Food sector, where other companies have been adjusting expectations due to various pressures. The company's strong financial position is evidenced by its excellent liquidity ratio of 4.23 and moderate debt levels. Despite the anticipation of a slowdown in profit growth in the second half of the year, attributed to rising input costs, including those related to cocoa, The Simply Goods Group's performance is still considered robust, especially as it includes the impact of current tariffs.
The Simply Goods Group had previously acquired OWYN, a plant-based beverage company, with the understanding that it would operate independently for a year before being integrated into the larger company's sales growth figures. With the anniversary of this acquisition approaching in June 2025, analysts expect OWYN's growth to soon contribute to The Simply Goods Group's organic sales growth. InvestingPro data reveals the company has achieved an EBITDA of $258.13 million, demonstrating strong operational efficiency. For deeper insights into SMPL's financials and growth potential, including 8 additional ProTips, check out the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.
Bernstein's raised price target is based on an increased EBITDA estimate for the company, from $321 million to $331 million, over the next four quarters (Q5-Q8). The firm maintains a forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 15.5x. The positive outlook reflects confidence in the company's financial health, which InvestingPro rates as "GREAT" with an overall score of 3.18, and its ability to navigate market challenges.
In other recent news, Simply Good Foods Co reported better-than-expected financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company achieved an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.46, surpassing analysts' expectations of $0.41. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, reaching $359.7 million, a 15.2% increase year-over-year, driven by strong organic growth and new product contributions. The firm's adjusted EBITDA rose by 17.6% to $68 million, indicating effective cost management. Notably, Simply Good Foods continues to reduce its debt, enhancing financial stability. The company anticipates net sales growth of 8.5-10.5% for the fiscal year 2025, with a projected increase in Owen's net sales. Analyst firms have not recently upgraded or downgraded the stock, but the company's strategic positioning in the nutritional snacking market remains strong.
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