Bernstein raises Walmart stock price target to $117 on improved earnings outlook

Published 22/08/2025, 12:58
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Investing.com - Bernstein SocGen Group has raised its price target on Walmart (NYSE:WMT) to $117.00 from $113.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating, following the retailer’s mixed second-quarter results. According to InvestingPro data, 11 analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period, with analyst targets ranging from $64 to $127.

Walmart reported a 5.6% constant currency net sales growth, exceeding its previous guidance of 3.5%-4.5%, but fell short on adjusted constant currency EBIT growth at just 0.4%, according to Bernstein analyst Zhihan Ma. The EBIT growth was negatively impacted by higher self-insured general liability claims, which created a 560 basis point headwind. The retail giant, with a substantial market capitalization of $782.56 billion, maintains strong financial health according to InvestingPro’s comprehensive analysis.

The retailer’s U.S. comparable sales increased 4.5%, surpassing consensus expectations of 4.0%. However, Walmart’s gross margin of 24.5% came in 30 basis points below consensus as strength in the U.S. market was offset by pressure in international operations.

Walmart’s adjusted earnings per share reached $0.68, missing consensus estimates by 4 cents. The company’s global advertising revenue showed strong performance, growing 46% in the second quarter, which includes contributions from its VIZIO acquisition.

Bernstein expressed confidence in Walmart’s long-term earnings algorithm, projecting that Walmart’s U.S. e-commerce business will reach approximately 9% subsidized contribution margin by achieving efficiency gains in last-mile delivery, growing retail media, and reducing e-commerce fulfillment costs through automation.

In other recent news, Walmart reported its second-quarter earnings, which fell short of analyst expectations. The company announced adjusted earnings per share of $0.68, missing the consensus estimate of $0.73 due to higher-than-expected claims costs impacting quarterly EBIT. Despite this earnings miss, Walmart raised its full-year guidance. Analysts have responded with mixed ratings; Bank of America Securities reiterated a Buy rating with a $120.00 price target, citing strong grocery performance. Meanwhile, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James maintained an Outperform rating with a $105.00 price target, and Goldman Sachs also kept its Buy rating with a $101.00 target. Telsey Advisory Group raised its price target to $118.00, expressing confidence in Walmart’s ecosystem growth. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) reiterated its Outperform rating with a $115.00 target, noting that U.S. comparable sales are trending positively despite some consumer pushback. These developments reflect varied analyst perspectives on Walmart’s financial health and strategic direction.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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