Bernstein reiterates Underperform rating on Maersk stock amid shipping challenges

Published 25/09/2025, 13:40
Bernstein reiterates Underperform rating on Maersk stock amid shipping challenges

Investing.com - Bernstein SocGen Group has reiterated an Underperform rating and DKK10,600.00 price target on AP Moller Maersk (MAERSKB:DC) (OTC:AMKBY), a $30.4 billion market cap shipping giant with $56.8 billion in revenue, citing significant challenges in the company’s core container shipping business. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears undervalued despite trading at a modest P/E ratio of 4.65.

The research firm points to a substantial decline in spot rates, which have fallen approximately 40% year-to-date in 2025, following the temporary rate support provided by Red Sea closures in 2024. While the second quarter may show adequate performance as importers build volumes, Bernstein expects year-over-year declines in volumes and a deteriorating supply-demand balance to pressure rates in the second half of the year. Despite these challenges, Maersk maintains a strong 5.08% dividend yield and has consistently paid dividends for 34 consecutive years.

Bernstein warns that any lasting peace deal in the Middle East that restores shipping routes through the Red Sea and Suez Canal would create additional downward pressure on rates for the shipping giant.

The firm’s analysis highlights concerns about the medium-term outlook, noting the high and growing industry-wide container ship orderbook suggests an ongoing challenged rate environment in what it describes as a "commoditized, price-taking sector," at least until significant vessel scrapping occurs.

Bernstein also criticized Maersk’s integrator strategy as "flawed," stating it has failed to deliver promised revenue synergies for seven years. Nevertheless, InvestingPro data shows the company maintains strong financial health with an overall score of "GREAT" and holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet.

In other recent news, AP Moller Maersk’s second-quarter results have exceeded expectations, primarily driven by strong performance in its Ocean segment. Following this, Jefferies has raised its price target for Maersk to DKK13,500.00 from DKK12,500.00, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. Additionally, Maersk has reported a significant decrease in average U.S. import tariffs, which are now down to 21% from a peak of 54% earlier this year. This reduction in tariffs follows the implementation of sweeping tariffs announced by President Donald Trump against nearly all U.S. trading partners. Maersk’s estimates are based on its container-weighted effective average tariff rate metric. These developments reflect the dynamic changes in the shipping industry and the broader trade environment.

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