Street Calls of the Week
On Wednesday, Bernstein SocGen Group began coverage on Flutter Entertainment stock (NYSE: FLUT) by assigning it a Market Perform rating. The research firm also set a price target of $275, suggesting a potential upside of 9%. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets range from $254 to $340, with the stock currently trading slightly below its Fair Value. With a market capitalization of $43.9 billion, Flutter has attracted significant analyst attention, with 12 additional ProTips available for subscribers.
The analysts noted the attractive medium-term growth prospects presented by Flutter Entertainment during its investor day presentation last fall. They emphasized the company’s continued market leadership and technological advantages, particularly through the Flutter Edge, as key growth drivers. The outlook for FanDuel’s handle in the U.S. and local brands in Brazil and Italy was highlighted as especially promising. Financial data from InvestingPro supports this optimistic outlook, showing impressive revenue growth of 16.7% over the last twelve months and projected sales growth for the current year.
However, the analysts expressed some caution regarding the pace of same-game parlay penetration in the U.S. and the potential impact on structural hold. They are also monitoring regulatory changes to online gaming levies in the UK, where Flutter Entertainment generated approximately 40% of its 2024 EBITDA.
The analysts valued Flutter Entertainment at 20 times earnings, indicating a transition from user growth to profitability. They assumed a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 11% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
In other recent news, Flutter Entertainment has been active on several fronts. The company announced the completion of its acquisition of a stake in NSX Group, part of its strategy to broaden its market reach. This acquisition was detailed in a Form 8-K filed with the SEC. Additionally, Flutter disclosed an interim review of its ordinary shares, complying with the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority’s rules, as outlined in another Form 8-K filing.
On the earnings front, Flutter’s first-quarter results did not meet market expectations, with both revenue and Adjusted EBITDA falling short, attributed to weaker U.S. sports betting outcomes and foreign exchange impacts. Despite these challenges, Benchmark analysts maintained a Buy rating with a $300 price target, citing strong U.S. market momentum and strategic focus on product-led growth. Meanwhile, Citi analysts reaffirmed their Buy rating, even as Illinois introduced a new tax on online sports betting, which could impact Flutter’s U.S. adjusted EBITDA by 6% in 2025.
Furthermore, Flutter updated its total voting rights, emphasizing its commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance. These developments reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to navigate regulatory landscapes and optimize its operational strategies.
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