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On Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on SAP AG (NYSE:SAP) shares by reducing the price target from $307.00 to $300.00, while still maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The revision reflects a cautious stance in light of broader economic challenges, though the firm’s view on SAP’s fundamentals remains positive. According to InvestingPro data, SAP’s stock has shown remarkable strength with a 46.4% return over the past year, though current valuations suggest the stock may be trading above its Fair Value.
Keith Bachman, an analyst at BMO Capital, acknowledged the robust aspects of SAP’s business, particularly the improved technology platform and the high visibility of revenues stemming from cloud conversions. The analyst’s confidence in SAP’s free cash flow (FCF) projections suggests potential for upside, despite the broader economic headwinds. This confidence appears well-founded, as InvestingPro data shows SAP generated $4.6 billion in levered free cash flow over the last twelve months, maintaining a healthy 73.2% gross profit margin.
The decision to adjust the price target comes without changes to the majority of BMO Capital’s estimates for SAP. However, the firm did revise its expectations for the current cloud backlog growth, which is a key metric for SAP’s cloud business momentum.
While BMO Capital has reduced the price target, it continues to endorse the stock with an Outperform rating, signaling a belief in SAP’s continued market performance. Nonetheless, SAP has been removed from BMO Capital’s position as the top pick, indicating a more tempered endorsement in the context of the current economic environment.
The adjustment by BMO Capital underscores the balancing act analysts must perform when evaluating company prospects against macroeconomic conditions. SAP’s ongoing transition to cloud services and the associated revenue predictability are seen as strong points, even as the company navigates the uncertainties of a weakening macro backdrop.
In other recent news, SAP AG has made significant strides, with several analysts revising their outlook on the company. Bernstein analysts raised their price target for SAP from $267 to $376, citing strong fourth-quarter results and positive guidance. The analysts highlighted SAP’s robust performance and execution capabilities, projecting a promising fiscal year 2025. Meanwhile, Stifel analysts increased their price target from EUR265 to EUR300, maintaining a Buy rating due to confidence in SAP’s transition to cloud services, which is expected to drive future revenue growth. Additionally, JMP Securities maintained a Market Outperform rating with a $330 price target, emphasizing SAP’s growth strategy and the potential for long-term capital appreciation.
TD Cowen also reiterated a Buy rating with a $310 price target, noting SAP’s robust growth prospects and margin expansion potential, particularly in the EMEA region. The firm’s analysts pointed to SAP’s strategic focus on artificial intelligence (AI) as a key factor in its market position. Notably, SAP is set to introduce an AI agent service in Japan, enhancing its enterprise resource planning system. This initiative aligns with SAP’s ongoing efforts to integrate advanced technologies into its offerings, further strengthening its market presence. These recent developments reflect SAP’s strategic direction and the confidence analysts have in its ability to capitalize on the growing demand for cloud and AI solutions.
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