CFRA cuts Vodafone stock target to GBP0.70, maintains hold rating

Published 05/02/2025, 16:38
CFRA cuts Vodafone stock target to GBP0.70, maintains hold rating

On Wednesday, CFRA analyst Adrian Ng adjusted the price target for Vodafone stock (NASDAQ:VOD:LN) (NASDAQ: VOD), bringing it down from GBP0.70 from the previous GBP0.75, while still holding a "Hold" rating on the shares. The revision reflects Vodafone’s weaker-than-expected performance in the German market. Trading near its 52-week low of $8.00, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is slightly undervalued, with additional insights available through their comprehensive Pro Research Report.

Vodafone’s third-quarter fiscal year 2025 (ending March) total revenues saw an increase of 5.0% to EUR 9.8 billion, bolstered by a 5.6% rise in service revenue. This revenue growth was driven by strong performances in Africa and Turkey, as well as an uptick in the UK, which helped counterbalance a revenue decline in Germany. For the nine months of fiscal year 2025, Vodafone reported an organic increase of 3.2% in adjusted EBITDA after leases to EUR 8,239 million. The company experienced a slight organic decline in the margin, down 0.3 percentage points to 29.3%. InvestingPro data shows the company maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy current ratio of 1.37 and has maintained dividend payments for 36 consecutive years, currently offering a 5.3% yield.

In light of these financial results, Ng revised the earnings per share (EPS) estimate for fiscal year 2025 downward to EUR 0.08 from the previous estimate of EUR 0.09, while leaving the fiscal year 2026 EPS estimate unchanged at EUR 0.10. The analyst’s new target price suggests a fiscal year 2025 consensus enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 6.1 times, aligning with the valuation of Vodafone’s larger telecommunications peers.

Despite the reduction in the price target, CFRA believes the valuation remains fair, considering the balance between Vodafone’s improving EBITDA margin trend and the prevailing macroeconomic challenges. Vodafone has reiterated its financial guidance for fiscal year 2025, signaling stability in its future outlook.

In other recent news, Vodafone Group (LON:VOD) Plc has been the subject of various analyst adjustments, alongside revealing growth in its latest earnings call. Citi analysts reduced Vodafone’s price target from GBP0.73 to GBP0.75, maintaining a Neutral stock rating, primarily due to the company’s performance in Germany. However, they anticipate potential for a re-rating of Vodafone’s stock as earnings momentum could shift in the latter half of 2026.

Goldman Sachs shifted its rating from "Buy" to "Neutral" and revised the price target to £0.83 from the previous £1.00, reflecting a tempered outlook on Vodafone’s growth prospects, particularly concerning its German operations. The reassessment came as Vodafone’s recent track record in Germany showed customer losses and deteriorating growth trends.

In the latest earnings call, Vodafone reported a 3.8% rise in Group EBITDA, with the U.K. seeing over 8% growth and Turkiye about 50% growth in euro terms. Despite challenges in Germany, the company is implementing operational improvements and expects a U-shaped recovery. The company advanced in digital services, which grew by 18%, and is nearing the end of its role reduction program. Vodafone anticipates moderate growth in the second half of the year while focusing on top-line growth, cost management, and capital returns. These are the recent developments shaping Vodafone’s financial landscape.

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