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Investing.com - Bank of America Securities maintained its Buy rating on Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) with a price target of $64.00 on Thursday. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at a P/E ratio of 45.9x and shows strong financial health with an overall score of "GOOD."
The firm’s analysis is based on Chipotle’s projected steady-state earnings power, assuming an eventual footprint of 7,000 U.S. locations and 1,000 international restaurants.
BofA expects Chipotle’s average unit volumes to exceed $4 million at maturity, with restaurant margins reaching 27% (28% excluding pre-opening expenses), returning to previous peak levels.
The financial model assumes general and administrative expenses of 5%, comparable to other mature company-operated restaurant systems, which would generate $7.5 billion in EBITDA at steady state.
Applying a 22x multiple to this projected EBITDA results in an implied enterprise value of $165 billion, which discounted to present value supports the $64 price target.
In other recent news, Chipotle Mexican Grill reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a modest earnings per share (EPS) beat with actual EPS of $0.33, slightly above the forecast of $0.32. However, revenue was slightly below expectations, coming in at $3.1 billion compared to the anticipated $3.11 billion. Analysts from Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) have lowered their price target for Chipotle to $60 from $65, maintaining an Overweight rating due to slower-than-expected comparable sales performance. The restaurant chain’s second-quarter comparable sales were -4%, missing expectations of -3%, with a 4.9% decline in transactions and a 0.9% increase in average check. Citi also adjusted its price target for Chipotle, reducing it to $62 from $68, while maintaining a Buy rating. This adjustment is attributed to near-term bearish narratives concerning management’s expectations for improvement in the second half of the year. Both analyst firms have highlighted challenges related to macroeconomic conditions and disruptions among lower-income customers. These developments provide a snapshot of Chipotle’s current financial and operational landscape.
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