Citi cuts SAP stock price target to EUR280 from EUR300, keeps Buy

Published 17/04/2025, 10:08
Citi cuts SAP stock price target to EUR280 from EUR300, keeps Buy

On Thursday, Citi analysts, led by Andrew Gardiner, adjusted the price target for SAP (SAP:GR) (NYSE: SAP) shares, reducing it from EUR300.00 to EUR280.00, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, SAP currently trades at $260.48, with analyst targets ranging from $278 to $343, reflecting a consensus "Buy" recommendation of 1.75. The adjustment comes amid a period characterized by macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties that are at the forefront of considerations going into the earnings season. SAP, known for its resilient business profile, is not immune to these factors, which are expected to influence investor focus on bookings and management commentary regarding client behavior and priorities against the current backdrop.

For the current quarter, Citi anticipates SAP’s revenues and margins to align broadly with expectations. However, they project that backlog growth will likely moderate, partly due to the heightened uncertainty experienced towards the quarter’s end. With earnings scheduled for April 22nd, investors should note SAP’s strong fundamentals, including a 73.2% gross profit margin and 9.5% revenue growth over the last twelve months. Despite these challenges, Citi expects SAP’s management to reaffirm the company’s outlook for 2025, albeit with a cautious approach.

Looking beyond the immediate quarter, investors are anticipated to shift their attention to SAP’s upcoming flagship SAPPHIRE event scheduled for May. This event could serve as a potential catalyst for the stock. Citi’s revised price target reflects minor cuts to their estimates and updates based on foreign exchange rates.

In their commentary, Gardiner noted SAP’s effective execution and relative insulation from the macroeconomic environment, reinforcing the company’s position as a top pick and maintaining its place on Citi’s EU Focus list. The analysts’ maintained Buy rating reflects their ongoing confidence in SAP’s performance and strategic direction.

In other recent news, SAP AG (NYSE:SAP) is preparing to release its first-quarter earnings report on April 22, 2025, with analysts projecting a 14% growth in Cloud & Software (ETR:SOWGn), marking a potential decade high. TD Cowen has increased SAP’s stock price target to $315, maintaining a Buy rating, citing the company’s RISE program and an improved growth outlook for 2025. Meanwhile, BMO Capital Markets has adjusted its price target for SAP shares to $300, while retaining an Outperform rating, acknowledging the strong visibility of SAP’s revenue despite broader economic challenges. Analysts from BMO remain confident in SAP’s free cash flow estimates, suggesting potential upside. SAP is also set to introduce an AI agent service in Japan, aimed at enhancing customer complaint management. This service will integrate with SAP’s existing enterprise resource planning system. TD Cowen continues to highlight SAP’s robust growth prospects and margin expansion, particularly in the European market, with approximately 45% of revenues coming from the EMEA region. The firm’s analysts have reiterated a Buy rating and a $310 price target, emphasizing SAP’s potential for growth acceleration and innovation, especially in artificial intelligence.

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