DA Davidson maintains $50 target on Nebius Group stock

Published 04/03/2025, 17:16
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On Tuesday, DA Davidson analyst Alex Platt maintained a Buy rating on Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) with a consistent price target of $50.00. The stock currently trades at $27.27, with analyst targets ranging from $50 to $60, according to InvestingPro data. The platform offers 10+ additional exclusive insights about NBIS, including detailed valuation metrics and growth forecasts. Platt highlighted the company’s advantageous position in the AI compute and neocloud sector, especially with the impending initial public offering (IPO) of CRWV. Nebius Group’s diversified revenue stream and customer demographic were noted as key strengths, potentially offering resilience against fluctuations in market demand.

Platt’s analysis suggests that Nebius Group stands to benefit in the short term from the increased focus on the AI compute/neocloud space due to the upcoming CRWV IPO. While the stock has experienced significant volatility, falling nearly 18% in the past week, it maintains impressive six-month gains of 48%. This attention could provide a boost to Nebius Group’s visibility and perceived value in the market. The analyst also indicated that Nebius Group’s lack of significant customer concentration risk differentiates it favorably from its competitors, as it operates as a spillover player with a broader customer base.

The company’s diversified revenue profile was emphasized as a protective factor that could shield it from volatile demand shifts. InvestingPro data shows strong financial health indicators, with a current ratio of 9.64 and more cash than debt on its balance sheet, suggesting robust operational flexibility. This diversification is seen as an asset that could help Nebius Group maintain steady performance even if the industry experiences a downturn in demand.

Looking ahead, Platt expressed confidence in Nebius Group’s long-term prospects within the AI compute market. Analysts project significant revenue growth of 365% for FY2025, though profitability remains a challenge with negative earnings expected. For comprehensive analysis including Fair Value estimates and detailed financial metrics, access the full Pro Research Report available exclusively on InvestingPro. The expectation is that Nebius Group is on track to capture a substantial market share from the larger hyperscale companies. This strategic positioning could enable Nebius Group to become a significant player in the AI compute landscape over time.

Platt’s reaffirmation of the Buy rating and the $50.00 price target reflects a positive outlook for Nebius Group’s future performance, both in the immediate aftermath of the CRWV IPO and in the longer term as the company continues to navigate the competitive AI compute market.

In other recent news, Nebius Group reported its Q4 2024 earnings, revealing strategic growth plans amid challenges. The company announced a cash position of $2.4 billion, bolstered by a $700 million raise in the fourth quarter. Despite facing longer deal lead times and customer migration challenges, Nebius Group projects an annualized run rate (ARR) of $220 million by March 2025, with a target of $750 million to $1 billion by December 2025. Revenue guidance for 2025 is set between $500 million and $700 million, with EBITDA expected to approach breakeven during the year.

DA Davidson initiated coverage on Nebius Group, assigning a Buy rating and a $50 price target, highlighting the company’s technological potential and market opportunities. The firm employs a unique evaluation process that prioritizes the technological aspects of early-stage ventures, suggesting a speculative but optimistic outlook for Nebius Group. This approach reflects DA Davidson’s confidence in the company’s long-term revenue generation capabilities.

Nebius Group is also expanding its data center capacity, targeting 100 megawatts by year-end, with potential scalability to over 300 megawatts. The company plans to significantly increase its annualized run rate, positioning itself as a leader in the AI infrastructure market. These developments underscore Nebius Group’s ambitious growth targets and strategic expansions despite the immediate challenges it faces.

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