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Investing.com - Goldman Sachs downgraded Neste Oyj (HE:NESTE) (OTC:NTOIY) from Buy to Neutral on Thursday, setting a price target of EUR17.00.
The investment bank cited valuation concerns as the primary reason for the downgrade, noting that Neste now trades at a 10% premium to replacement cost after previously trading at a 35-40% discount.
Goldman Sachs indicated that several positive catalysts for the renewable fuels producer have already materialized, including tightening Renewable Diesel (RD) and Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) markets due to European demand growth and the implementation of 2% SAF blending requirements in the EU and UK.
The firm also pointed to margin recovery in renewable products from trough levels in the second half of 2024 as another catalyst that has largely played out, limiting near-term earnings upside potential.
Despite the downgrade, Goldman Sachs remains optimistic about Neste’s medium-term prospects, forecasting EBITDA 14% above consensus for 2026 and 12% above for 2027, with improved cash flow generation expected from the Rotterdam plant expansion in 2027.
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