Grocery Outlet stock price target raised to $18 by UBS on turnaround progress

Published 07/08/2025, 16:40
Grocery Outlet stock price target raised to $18 by UBS on turnaround progress

Investing.com - UBS raised its price target on Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) to $18.00 from $17.00 on Thursday, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the discount grocery retailer. The stock, currently trading at $18.47, has shown remarkable momentum with a 41% surge in the past week, according to InvestingPro data.

The price target increase follows Grocery Outlet’s second-quarter results, which showed positive traction in the company’s turnaround efforts. The retailer beat consensus expectations on same-store sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted earnings per share. The company’s revenue grew 8.47% over the last twelve months, with EBITDA reaching $229.5 million.

UBS noted that Grocery Outlet is already benefiting from the deployment of its real-time order guide across its store portfolio. Focused stores implementing the system have seen material in-stock improvements and approximately 200 basis points of incremental same-store sales.

The company plans to deploy a new arrival guide this fall, which will give independent operators the ability to benefit from expanded ordering windows for both everyday and opportunistic products. These initiatives have helped Grocery Outlet maintain voluntary turnover of less than 10%, despite recent challenges.

Despite the positive quarterly results, Grocery Outlet did not significantly raise its full-year outlook, which UBS suggests likely reflects conservatism rather than expected softness in the second half of the year. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value, with a high P/E ratio of 105x. Discover 12 additional exclusive insights and detailed valuation metrics with an InvestingPro subscription.

In other recent news, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings, which surpassed analysts’ expectations with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23, compared to the forecast of $0.17. However, the company’s revenue slightly missed projections, coming in at $1.18 billion against the anticipated $1.19 billion. Despite the mixed earnings report, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) upgraded Grocery Outlet’s stock from Underweight to Equalweight, citing a more balanced risk/reward profile due to operational improvements. The investment bank also raised its price target for the company to $16.00 from $13.00. Meanwhile, DA Davidson lowered its price target on Grocery Outlet to $16.00 from $17.00, maintaining a Neutral rating. This adjustment follows Grocery Outlet’s performance, which exceeded expectations on most metrics, showing progress in various initiatives. The company has seen promising results from several test programs and benefits from improved systems and merchandising. These recent developments reflect the ongoing changes and challenges faced by Grocery Outlet.

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