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Monday, RBL Bank Ltd (NSE:RATB). (RBK:IN) shares retained a Buy rating from Investec (LON:INVP), with a consistent price target of INR230.00. Investec analysts cited the bank’s management expectations of a significant reduction in credit cost to about 1.6-1.8% in the fiscal year 2026, compared to 3.4% in fiscal 2025. This anticipated decline is partly due to the aggressive provisions made on RBL Bank’s microfinance institution (MFI) portfolio, which has effectively brought net non-performing loans (NPLs) to zero, and a moderation in unsecured retail delinquencies.
The bank’s management also projects a growth in the loan book by 16-18% during FY26, propelled mainly by the secured and wholesale segments. However, this expansion is expected to dilute the net interest margin (NIM). Additionally, the bank’s ability to deliver on pre-provision operating profit (PPOP) is acknowledged as a key challenge for FY26, with expectations set for flattish trends compared to FY25.
RBL Bank does not plan to raise equity capital in FY26, with its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio currently at 14%. While Investec’s analysis builds a 2.1% credit cost in FY26 estimates, which is higher than the management’s guidance, the firm suggests that outperformance in this area will be a crucial driver for the stock in the near term. The analysts have expressed confidence in the bank’s outlook by maintaining their Buy recommendation.
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