JMP maintains $130 target on Alexandria Real Estate stock

Published 30/04/2025, 10:30
JMP maintains $130 target on Alexandria Real Estate stock

On Wednesday, Alexandria Real Estate Equities (NYSE:ARE) received a reiterated Market Outperform rating and a $130.00 price target from JMP analysts, following the company’s first quarter financial results of 2025. Alexandria Real Estate Equities reported a Core Funds From Operations (FFO) of $2.30 per share, surpassing JMP’s estimate of $2.21 and the consensus of $2.29 per share. The better-than-expected performance was attributed to higher Net Operating Income (NOI) and lower General & Administrative (G&A) expenses.

Despite the positive results in the first quarter, the company’s management has revised its full-year 2025 Core FFO guidance downward by $0.07 per share at the midpoint. This adjustment reflects a combination of factors, including slower leasing activity, reduced straight-line rent, and increased interest expenses, though partially mitigated by savings in G&A. The increased GAAP interest expense is due to a change in cost allocation that was previously capitalized and weighted toward future development projects.

The revised guidance underscores the challenges faced by the life science real estate sector post-pandemic high. In response, Alexandria’s management is strategically reducing its exposure to non-mega-campus assets and shifting away from longer development land positions and non-core assets. This strategy is considered beneficial for the long term despite introducing more immediate uncertainty.

A silver lining mentioned by the management was the minimal impact that tariffs could have on the value creation potential of Alexandria’s development pipeline. JMP analysts highlighted that the company’s shares are currently trading at a significant 55% discount to their Net Asset Value (NAV), a level comparable to what was seen during the financial crisis. The analysts view this discount as excessive and recommend the stock, emphasizing the unique nature of Alexandria’s portfolio, which is deemed critical to U.S. public safety and could command a premium in the event of strategic alternatives being explored. Trading near its 52-week low of $71.57 and at a price-to-book ratio of 0.71, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with 12 additional exclusive insights available to subscribers through the comprehensive Pro Research Report.

In other recent news, Alexandria Real Estate Equities reported its Q1 2025 earnings, showing a mixed financial performance. The company missed earnings per share (EPS) expectations with a result of -$0.07, significantly below the forecasted $0.76. However, Alexandria Real Estate Equities exceeded revenue projections, reporting $758.2 million against the anticipated $751.5 million. The company also experienced a decline in occupancy rates to 91.7%, which could indicate potential challenges in tenant retention. Analysts from various firms have expressed concerns regarding the EPS miss, though they noted the positive revenue results. Alexandria Real Estate Equities maintains a robust dividend yield of 5.7% and has adjusted its funds from operations (FFO) per share guidance to $9.26, reflecting a more conservative outlook. The company continues to focus on its mega campus strategy, which contributed to 75% of its annual rental revenue. Despite the challenges, Alexandria Real Estate Equities reported a 4% increase in total revenues and a 5% rise in adjusted EBITDA year-over-year.

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