JMP maintains Penguin Solutions stock with $26 target

Published 04/04/2025, 10:24
JMP maintains Penguin Solutions stock with $26 target

On Friday, JMP analysts maintained their positive outlook on Penguin Solutions (NASDAQ: PENG), reaffirming a Market Outperform rating and a $26.00 price target. This aligns with the broader analyst consensus, as InvestingPro data shows analyst targets ranging from $20 to $30, suggesting significant upside potential. This endorsement follows Penguin Solutions’ impressive second-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report, which surpassed analysts’ expectations. The company reported a 28% year-over-year increase in revenue to $365.5 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $344.4 million. The surge was largely attributed to its Advanced Computing segment, which saw a 42% increase to $200.2 million, topping the expected $183.3 million.

Penguin Solutions’ non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) also exceeded forecasts, coming in at $0.52 against a consensus of $0.38. CEO Mark Adams commented on the company’s promising future, citing a growing portfolio of innovative products and strategic partnerships that bolster Penguin’s market position. Despite these robust results, Penguin Solutions’ stock has experienced a downturn, falling approximately 16% year-to-date, compared to an 8.5% decline in the Russell 3000 index. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which provides deep-dive analysis of 1,400+ top US stocks.

The company has also raised the lower end of its full-year 2025 revenue and earnings guidance. This optimistic revision is backed by a strong first half in the Advanced Computing segment and expectations for the Integrated Memory business to drive growth in the second half of the fiscal year. With an EV/EBITDA ratio of 7.13 and strong free cash flow yield, InvestingPro data indicates attractive valuation metrics, suggesting potential opportunities for investors seeking value in the technology sector. Penguin Solutions now anticipates revenue between $1,334.7 million and $1,405.0 million, with Advanced Computing revenue projected to be in the range of $637.7 million to $693.2 million.

The Integrated Memory segment’s revenue forecast has been increased to a range of $427.7 million to $463.4 million, marking a 25% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Meanwhile, the Optimized LED segment is expected to maintain its revenue at $259.8 million. The company also predicts a non-GAAP gross margin of 30.0% to 32.0% and non-GAAP EPS between $1.50 and $1.70. Management has confirmed the shift from quarterly to annual guidance as a more effective approach to accommodate the timing of AI infrastructure deployments.

In other recent news, Penguin Solutions reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, surpassing earnings expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.52 against a forecast of $0.39. The company’s revenue reached $366 million, exceeding the anticipated $337.42 million, marking a 28% year-over-year growth. Following these results, both Stifel and Needham reaffirmed their Buy ratings for Penguin Solutions, maintaining a $27 price target. Stifel noted the company’s performance in the Advanced Computing and Integrated Memory sectors, while Needham highlighted robust sales in Advanced Compute hardware. Despite a slight decrease in gross margins due to a higher mix of hardware sales, operational expenses are expected to grow at a slower rate. Penguin Solutions has raised its full-year revenue growth outlook from 15% to 17%, reflecting confidence in its strategy to foster profitable growth. The company also anticipates a growth of 15-25% in its Advanced Computing segment and 20-30% in its Memory segment for the year. Additionally, Penguin’s involvement in the Compute Express Link ecosystem has encountered delays, but the Operational Memory Architecture is projected to contribute to revenues by late 2026 or early 2027.

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