JPMorgan downgrades Telstra stock rating to Neutral on valuation concerns

Published 14/08/2025, 15:36
JPMorgan downgrades Telstra stock rating to Neutral on valuation concerns

Investing.com - JPMorgan has downgraded Telstra Corp. (ASX:TLS) from Overweight to Neutral while slightly raising its price target to AUD4.75 from AUD4.65.

The rating change follows Telstra’s fiscal year 2025 results, which JPMorgan described as "broadly in-line" with expectations, while the company’s FY26 guidance was characterized as "mixed." Telstra also announced a AUD1 billion share buyback program, which exceeded market expectations.

Mobile earnings for the telecommunications company grew 5% in FY25, primarily driven by average revenue per user (ARPU), a trend JPMorgan expects to continue into FY26 following recent price increases. However, the firm noted subscriber growth decelerated in the second half of FY25.

JPMorgan identified several emerging headwinds for Telstra, including increased competition and consumer shifts toward prepaid services. The firm also pointed out mixed performance across Telstra’s portfolio, with the International segment "continuing to face challenges and under review."

The downgrade to Neutral was primarily based on valuation concerns, with JPMorgan noting the stock is trading "broadly in-line" with its price target.

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