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Investing.com - JPMorgan has initiated coverage on MTR Corporation Limited (HK:66) (OTC:MTCPY) with a Neutral rating and a price target of HK$29.00.
The Hong Kong-based company operates a unique business model that integrates rail operations with property development, leveraging its transportation infrastructure to unlock property opportunities.
JPMorgan believes the risk-reward appears balanced at current levels, with the post-COVID rebound in domestic railway operations already priced in.
The investment bank identified several factors limiting upside potential, including the recent or impending expiry of key overseas concessions, lackluster growth in the rental business, anticipated moderation in property development profits starting in 2027, and elevated capital expenditure requirements for the Hong Kong Northern Link development.
These factors collectively point to a forecast 16% CAGR decline in earnings for FY25-27E, which may limit the potential for a significant valuation re-rating, though JPMorgan expects dividends to remain steady.
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