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Investing.com - Baird has downgraded KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) from Outperform to Neutral and set a price target of $18.00. According to InvestingPro data, the stock is currently trading near its Fair Value, with a market capitalization of $19.6 billion and an impressive 54-year track record of consistent dividend payments.
The downgrade comes after KeyCorp shares have rallied approximately 35% since early April, outperforming both the KRE regional banking index (+26%) and the S&P (+24%) during the same period.
Baird analyst David George indicated that while the firm feels "fine about KeyCorp" from an operational standpoint, it would "not be chasing the stock here" given the recent price appreciation.
The research firm estimates that following the BNS dilution, KeyCorp can earn nearly $2 per share on a normalized basis, which Baird believes is already reflected in the current valuation of approximately 6.5 times forward PPNR and 1.4 times tangible book value.
Baird concluded that "the near-term upside has played out" for KeyCorp shares, prompting the decision to "step aside" on the stock ahead of the second-quarter 2025 earnings season.
In other recent news, Plains All American Pipeline has announced an agreement to sell its Canadian natural gas liquids business to Keyera Corp (TSX:KEY). for $3.75 billion USD. This transaction, expected to finalize in the first quarter of 2026, will see Plains retaining its U.S. NGL assets while exiting the Canadian NGL market. The company anticipates net proceeds of approximately $3 billion USD after taxes and transaction expenses, with plans to potentially issue a special distribution to offset tax liabilities. Meanwhile, KeyCorp has seen its price target raised to $20 by BofA Securities, citing the bank’s favorable positioning to benefit from a projected increase in U.S. capital expenditure. KeyCorp has also strengthened its partnership with Qolo through a minority equity investment, aiming to enhance its payment solutions. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained an Outperform rating on KeyCorp, forecasting a 10% increase in investment banking revenue for the first half of 2025. Additionally, Jefferies initiated coverage on KeyCorp with a Hold rating and an $18 price target, highlighting the bank’s diversified revenue streams and strong capital position despite broader economic uncertainties.
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