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Loop Capital lifts Reddit stock target, buy rating on growth optimism

Published 02/12/2024, 14:30
Loop Capital lifts Reddit stock target, buy rating on growth optimism
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On Monday, Loop Capital raised its price target on Reddit (NYSE: RDDT) shares to $180, up from the previous $120, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment comes in response to Reddit's robust performance since its initial public offering (IPO) in March, which has seen the company's shares increase more than fourfold.

Currently trading at $140.69, Reddit has achieved a remarkable 178.93% return year-to-date, though InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is trading slightly above its Fair Value.

The social media platform has reported considerable growth in user numbers, revenue, and profits, surpassing expectations in both the June and September quarters. In the last quarter, Reddit achieved a 56% increase in advertising revenue and a 68% rise in total revenue.

With an impressive gross profit margin of 89.25% and trailing twelve-month revenue growth of 48.7%, Reddit's financial metrics support Loop Capital's analysis suggesting that the market may still be underestimating Reddit's potential for user growth and its financial consequences.

Reddit has demonstrated rapid expansion as a digital entity, consistently recording 50% or greater revenue growth each quarter of the current year, including the forecasted fourth quarter. Loop Capital has substantially revised its revenue projections for 2025 and 2026, factoring in a deceleration from present levels but still anticipating over 30% revenue growth.

For deeper insights into Reddit's growth trajectory and financial health, InvestingPro subscribers can access 15+ additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics in the Pro Research Report.

The primary concern highlighted by Loop Capital is the possibility of a decline in user growth, which could be precipitated by changes in Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL)'s search algorithm.

Nevertheless, the revised price target of $180 is based on the expectation that Reddit will either sustain its current revenue multiple into the next year or continue to exceed predictions in user growth and monetization. The company's market capitalization currently stands at $24.7 billion, reflecting investors' confidence in its growth potential.

In other recent news, Reddit has experienced a series of significant developments. The company recently encountered a major outage affecting thousands of users, following a software bug fix. This incident occurred shortly after Reddit addressed a previous software bug that had hindered platform access for many users.

On the financial front, Reddit's third-quarter earnings report revealed a 68% increase in total revenue and a 56% rise in advertising revenue, surpassing expectations. The company's adjusted EBITDA was reported at $94 million, significantly exceeding forecasts. These strong financial results have led to several analyst firms, including Piper Sandler, Citi, B.Riley, and JMP Securities, upgrading their price targets for Reddit.

Piper Sandler increased its price target for Reddit to $150, citing strong user growth metrics. The firm maintained an Overweight rating on the shares, despite slightly reducing digital spending estimates for the fourth quarter of 2024.

Citi also maintained a Buy rating on Reddit, highlighting the company's daily active user growth and the expansion of its advertising tools as key growth drivers. B.Riley raised its price target for Reddit to $112 following the company's strong third-quarter results.

These recent developments underscore the positive outlook for Reddit's continued growth and financial success. The company's strategic initiatives, such as the development of Reddit's advertising stack and user tools, are expected to further monetize the platform's user engagement and content.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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