Lynx Equity sees NVIDIA Texas plant offsetting China loss

Published 16/04/2025, 13:48
© Reuters

On Wednesday, Lynx Equity discussed NVIDIA Corporation’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) recent challenges and future prospects, focusing on the impact of the company’s discontinued business in China and the potential benefits from its new manufacturing facility in Texas. The firm’s analysts maintain a positive outlook despite the initial setback from the loss of a significant revenue stream. For comprehensive analysis of NVIDIA’s strategic moves and their financial impact, InvestingPro offers detailed research reports covering 1,400+ top US stocks, transforming complex data into actionable intelligence.

The analysts at Lynx Equity commented on the situation, stating that the loss of NVIDIA’s business in China, which accounts for a low to mid-teens percentage of the company’s revenue, was not unexpected and aligns with the previous warnings from the outgoing Biden administration. They acknowledged the substantial H20 write-down but suggested that the H20 GPUs could find buyers in the United States, where they are likely to be used for DeepSeek, a program believed to be trained on similar technology.

Lynx Equity pointed to the strategic timing of the announcement of NVIDIA’s partnership with Foxconn (SS:601138) to build a new manufacturing campus in Texas, which they believe was intended to reassure investors about the company’s ability to recover. Over the next 12 months, the analysts anticipate that the output from the Texas campus will compensate for the lost business in China by expediting deliveries to U.S. customers.

The research firm had previously predicted the construction of the new U.S.-based manufacturing facility, having observed component suppliers establishing labs near the Foxconn campus in Houston. While media reports suggested that the plant would ramp up production in 12-15 months, Lynx Equity expects initial shipments of servers to begin as early as the second half of 2025.

In conclusion, Lynx Equity foresees that the opening of the new facility will centralize manufacturing, accelerate shipments, and bridge the supply gap for U.S. customers, more than making up for the lost China business. They also believe that NVIDIA’s reduced business in China will not significantly disrupt its wafer starts at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), indicating a stable production outlook. The firm’s trading call encourages buying NVIDIA and Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) stocks on any weakness. According to InvestingPro, Micron appears undervalued based on its Fair Value analysis, with analysts expecting significant sales growth this year. The company maintains strong financials with a current ratio of 3.13 and operates with moderate debt levels. With 14 recent analyst revisions and a market cap of $79.4 billion, MU presents an interesting opportunity despite recent price volatility. For deeper insights into both companies and access to over 20 additional ProTips, visit InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Micron Technology reported a significant revenue increase of over 50% in the February quarter, attributed to the successful ramp-up of its High Bandwidth (NASDAQ:BAND) Memory (HBM) products. The company has also begun shipping its HBM3E product to a new major customer. Piper Sandler analysts maintained an Overweight rating with a $120 price target, despite noting concerns about declining gross margins in upcoming quarters. Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) also maintained an Overweight rating, setting a $130 price target as Micron adjusts prices in response to unexpected demand and tighter market conditions.

Citi reiterated a Buy rating with a $120 target, citing favorable market conditions and rising DRAM and NAND prices, as projected by research firm TrendForce. TrendForce revised its 2Q25 forecast, predicting stability in PC DRAM prices and potential increases in DRAM and NAND pricing due to improved supply and demand dynamics. Micron’s strategy to impose a surcharge on certain U.S. products to offset tariff costs was another recent development, reflecting the company’s efforts to manage financial impacts. These updates highlight Micron’s proactive approach in navigating market dynamics and maintaining investor confidence.

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