Mizuho raises OGE Energy target to $45, keeps Neutral rating

Published 05/05/2025, 12:56
Mizuho raises OGE Energy target to $45, keeps Neutral rating

On Monday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its outlook on OGE Energy shares (NYSE:OGE), increasing the price target from $44.00 to $45.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows OGE Energy’s first-quarter 2025 earnings report, which revealed earnings per share (EPS) of $0.31, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.23. The company, which boasts a "GOOD" Financial Health Score according to InvestingPro and has maintained dividend payments for 55 consecutive years, confirmed its full-year EPS guidance range of $2.21 to $2.33.

The performance of OGE Energy has garnered attention, particularly concerning upcoming regulatory filings in Oklahoma, further details on the partnership with the Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) facility in Stillwater, and interactions with other significant load customers. These factors are critical as they may impact the company’s financial trajectory, especially after Moody’s downgraded the outlook on OGE Energy’s balance sheet last month. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 15.56% over the last twelve months, despite these challenges.

Despite the positive earnings results, Mizuho analysts have reiterated a Neutral stance on OGE Energy shares. The decision is influenced by the stock’s current valuation, which trades at approximately a 9% price-to-earnings (P/E) premium compared to its peer group. This elevated valuation has been a key consideration for Mizuho in maintaining its rating. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears overvalued at current levels, despite its attractive PEG ratio of 0.84 and sustainable 3.74% dividend yield. Discover more insights and 6 additional ProTips for OGE Energy with an InvestingPro subscription.

The updated price target of $45 reflects Mizuho’s assessment of the current market multiples in relation to OGE Energy’s stock. As the market continues to digest the latest financial data and future prospects of the company, Mizuho’s stance remains cautiously optimistic, awaiting further clarity on the aforementioned matters that could influence the stock’s performance. For a comprehensive analysis of OGE Energy’s valuation and growth prospects, access the detailed Pro Research Report available exclusively on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, OGE Energy Corporation reported a strong first quarter in 2025, with net income reaching $63 million, a significant rise from $19 million the previous year. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) increased to $0.31 per diluted share, compared to $0.09 in the prior year, and OGE reaffirmed its full-year EPS guidance of $2.27. The electric company’s net income also saw a notable increase to $71 million, driven by higher operating revenues and an 8% year-over-year load growth. Discussions with major data center projects, including Google, indicate potential future growth opportunities for OGE Energy. Despite some softness in the industrial and oilfield segments, the company maintained a high grid reliability rate of 99.975% amidst severe weather conditions. The company plans to file a mid-year rate review in Oklahoma and anticipates consolidated earnings growth of 5-7%. In regulatory developments, potential changes in Oklahoma and Arkansas could impact future operations, but OGE Energy remains focused on grid strengthening and customer growth. Additionally, Moody’s has placed OGE Energy on a negative outlook, with discussions ongoing about potential credit accretive legislation in Oklahoma and Arkansas.

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