Morgan Stanley maintains Target stock Overweight with $160 target

Published 13/05/2025, 14:00
Morgan Stanley maintains Target stock Overweight with $160 target

On Tuesday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) reaffirmed its confidence in Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT), maintaining an Overweight rating and a $160.00 price target. The firm’s analysis suggests that despite a likely weak quarter and outlook, Target’s current valuation is not demanding, especially when compared to its peers. According to InvestingPro data, Target’s stock appears undervalued based on its comprehensive Fair Value analysis, with the company currently trading at a P/E ratio of just 11.32x.

According to Morgan Stanley, Target’s valuation discount has widened, now trading at approximately 10.5 times its estimated 2026 earnings per share, which is significantly lower than the group average of around 36 times. This widening gap is attributed to the challenges Target faces in execution and the diminishing visibility over the long term. Despite these challenges, InvestingPro analysis reveals Target’s strong dividend profile, with a current yield of 4.43% and an impressive 54-year streak of consecutive dividend increases. Discover more insights about Target and other undervalued opportunities with a Pro Research Report, available for 1,400+ top US stocks.

Target is actively working on several long-term priorities, including the expansion of its eCommerce platform, which encompasses third-party sellers and same-day services, as well as the growth of its loyalty programs. Additionally, the company is focusing on increasing its margin through Roundel advertising income and enhancing its fashion offerings with on-trend content and new product releases.

However, the investments required for these initiatives are expected to increase both in scope and duration. At the Investor Community Meeting on March 4th, Target adjusted its long-term earnings growth outlook from high-single digits to mid- to high-single digits. Furthermore, Target has shifted focus away from its previously stated 6% operating margin target, which was set in February 2023. The company maintains a solid financial foundation, with InvestingPro data showing sufficient cash flows to cover interest payments and a healthy Altman Z-Score of 3.01, indicating strong financial stability.

In the short term, Target could see some relief from a more favorable tariff environment in the second half of 2025, which might ease some pressures relative to expectations. Despite this potential respite, sales trends at Target have reportedly softened since early March, leading to concerns over the company’s near-term performance and clouding the visibility of its future financial health. Recent data from InvestingPro shows the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 33.75% decline over the past six months, though it has shown resilience with a 7.93% gain in the past week. The company’s next earnings report is scheduled for May 21, 2025, which will be crucial for assessing its trajectory.

In other recent news, Target Corporation has successfully issued $1 billion in notes due in 2035, with a 5.000% yield. This financial move is part of Target’s broader strategy to support its business operations and growth initiatives, as outlined in a recent SEC filing. The proceeds from this note issuance are intended for general corporate purposes, including refinancing existing debt and funding capital expenditures. Additionally, Target has announced a limited-time collaboration with kate spade new york, offering over 300 fashion and home items, with many priced at $15 or below. This collection aims to combine style and affordability, reflecting Target’s commitment to accessible design.

Meanwhile, CFRA analysts have downgraded Target’s stock from ’Buy’ to ’Hold,’ citing tariff risks and a challenging economic environment as key factors. The firm also lowered its earnings per share estimates for the upcoming fiscal years, reflecting potential financial impacts on Target due to its reliance on imported goods. In a separate development, a Piper Sandler survey revealed that Walmart (NYSE:WMT) is gaining popularity among upper-income teens, contrasting with a decline in Target’s appeal within the same demographic. This shift in consumer behavior highlights changing dynamics in the retail sector that companies like Target and Walmart must navigate.

Target’s recent strategic efforts, such as launching the kate spade new york collection and issuing notes, underscore its focus on maintaining market competitiveness and financial stability. The company’s exposure to tariff risks, as noted by CFRA, presents challenges that may affect its future financial performance. These developments collectively paint a picture of Target’s current position and ongoing efforts to adapt to a rapidly evolving retail landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.