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Investing.com - UBS has lowered its price target on Olin (NYSE:OLN) to $22.00 from $23.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock, citing mixed quarterly results and a weaker outlook for the company’s Winchester ammunition segment. The stock has declined over 35% in the past six months, though InvestingPro analysis suggests the company is currently undervalued based on its Fair Value model.
The chemical company’s third-quarter EBITDA guidance of approximately $190 million midpoint came in about 12% below consensus estimates, though UBS noted this was likely closer to investor expectations following recent industry developments. The guidance reflects roughly flat quarter-over-quarter core EBITDA, excluding higher turnaround costs scheduled for the third quarter. According to InvestingPro data, the company’s gross profit margin stands at 10.37%, indicating operational challenges that align with recent developments.
Olin experienced operational outages during the quarter estimated at approximately $10 million, indicating some core weakening in its business. The Winchester ammunition segment emerged as the primary weak point, impacted by lower commercial volumes and higher costs, while the chlor-alkali and vinyls segments performed closer to analyst expectations.
The company anticipates seasonally stronger bleach, caustic, and epoxy volumes in the third quarter, though these positive factors will be offset by lower EDC (ethylene dichloride) pricing and reduced earnings from the Winchester segment. Alongside its results, Olin announced new cost-saving targets of $70-90 million in run-rate savings by the end of 2025.
Based on these developments, UBS has lowered its 2026 EBITDA estimate for Olin by approximately $50 million (about 5%) to $940 million, primarily accounting for weaker performance in the Winchester segment, partially offset by anticipated cost savings. Despite these challenges, Olin maintains a strong dividend track record, having paid dividends for 52 consecutive years. For deeper insights into Olin’s financial health and future prospects, including additional ProTips and comprehensive analysis, visit InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Olin Corporation reported mixed results for its second-quarter 2025 earnings. The company posted an unexpected earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.01, which was below the forecasted EPS gain of $0.02. However, Olin exceeded revenue expectations by reporting $1.76 billion, surpassing the projected $1.66 billion. These developments have caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. Despite the earnings miss, the positive revenue performance indicates some strength in Olin’s operations. The company’s stock experienced a notable rise following the announcement. Analysts from various firms are closely monitoring these developments to assess their impact on Olin’s future performance. The earnings and revenue figures are crucial for investors evaluating their positions in the company. These recent developments reflect the dynamic nature of Olin’s financial landscape.
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