Raymond James cuts Baytex Energy stock target to Cdn$5.00

Published 05/03/2025, 13:54
Raymond James cuts Baytex Energy stock target to Cdn$5.00

On Wednesday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analyst Luke Davis revised the price target for Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE:CN) (NYSE: BTE) to Cdn$5.00, down from the previous Cdn$5.50. Despite the adjustment, the firm maintained its Market Perform rating on the stock. Davis noted that Baytex’s fourth-quarter 2024 results aligned with expectations, with a minor cash flow surplus primarily attributed to one-time factors. With a market capitalization of $1.67 billion and an attractive EV/EBITDA ratio of 2.08x, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued.

Baytex’s 2025 forecast remains unchanged, even after encountering some weather-related disruptions in the first quarter. The company’s attention is on optimizing its Eagle Ford (NYSE:F) operations and fostering growth in select Canadian regions, with the Duvernay play showing promising results. The company has demonstrated strong operational performance with impressive revenue growth of 39.63% over the last twelve months. Amidst broader market concerns, including tariff implications and potential OPEC production cut reversals, the company’s diversified asset portfolio across borders is expected to offer some stability.

According to Davis, the recent dip in Baytex’s stock performance is likely exaggerated, with InvestingPro data showing the stock trading near its 52-week low of $1.96. The RSI indicates oversold conditions, and analysts expect net income growth this year. However, he believes that an oil price in the mid-US$70 range is essential for Baytex to significantly improve its capital structure and increase financial flexibility. The unchanged outlook for the next year suggests a steady course for the company despite the first-quarter challenges. For deeper insights into Baytex’s valuation and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis through the Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Baytex Energy Corp (NYSE:BTE). has completed the sale of its Kerrobert thermal asset in southwest Saskatchewan, generating net proceeds of approximately $42 million. The asset was producing around 2,000 barrels of heavy oil per day. Baytex plans to use the proceeds from this sale to reduce its outstanding bank debt. Following this divestiture, the company has adjusted its 2025 production guidance to a range of 148,000 to 152,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, down from the previous estimate of 150,000 to 154,000 boe/d. Despite this change, Baytex expects the sale will not significantly impact its exploration and development spending or its free cash flow projections for 2025. This strategic decision is part of Baytex’s broader effort to streamline its portfolio by selling non-core assets. The company has emphasized that while it anticipates positive outcomes from this transaction, there are industry-specific risks and uncertainties involved. Baytex has no plans to update its forward-looking statements unless legally required.

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